Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CHRDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CHRD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Chord Energy Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company centered in the Williston Basin. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.96B in revenue with an operating margin of 34.7%. Its stock has gained 80.9% over the past year while maintaining an EV to EBITDA ratio of 3.2x.

Market cap
$8.45B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.96B
P/E
10.4x
1Y return
80.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$176.88
14.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months revenue expanded significantly, supported by an 84.1% year-over-year quarterly revenue increase for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 3.2x, below the US-listed Energy peer median of 8.0x.
  • Chord Energy delivered FY2025 free cash flow of $692.7M while maintaining a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18.

Bear case

  • Annual net income dropped from $848.6M in FY2024 to $44.5M in FY2025 as net margin shrank to 0.9%.
  • Consensus estimates for the next fiscal year forecast revenue to decline 17.1% to $5.69B and EPS to drop 16.2% to $18.33.
  • Share count increased by 169.5% over the past 5 years, resulting in substantial equity dilution.

What Chord Energy does

Chord Energy Corporation, headquartered in Houston, Texas, functions as an independent exploration and production company within the energy sector. Specializing in the acquisition, exploitation, development, and exploration of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, Chord Energy primarily focuses its operations in the prolific Williston Basin. Founded in 2007, the company leverages its specialized knowledge and strategic location to optimize resource extraction and development. Chord Energy emphasizes operational efficiency and sustainable practices to maximize the value of its oil and gas assets while meeting environmental standards.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Chord Energy expanded revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 35.1%, peaking at $5.25B in FY2024 before revenue fell 7.1% to $4.88B in FY2025. Over that period, gross margin compressed from 42.4% in FY2021 to 6.5% in FY2025, and operating margin declined from 51.2% to 4.1%. Net income dropped to $44.5M in FY2025, down from $848.6M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 84.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 48.2%. TTM revenue stood at $5.96B with a profit margin of 14.2% and EPS of $14.86.

CHRD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Chord Energy held $611.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.50B, resulting in net debt of $891.2M. The company reported shareholders' equity of $8.36B, a current ratio of 1.22, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.04B and free cash flow was $692.7M. Chord Energy deployed cash toward $1.35B in capital expenditures, $364.9M in share buybacks, and $317.8M in dividend payments.

CHRD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Chord Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 10.4x and an EV to EBITDA of 3.2x, compared to the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 15.0x trailing P/E and 8.0x EV to EBITDA. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.4x, below the peer median of 1.8x, and its price-to-book ratio stands at 0.9x. The stock closed at $154.56 on October 16, 2026, up 80.9% over the past year and 125.9% over five years, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) gains of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same respective periods.

CHRD key metrics →

CHRD dividend

Chord Energy offers an annual forward dividend of $5.20 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.36%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 35.5%, with distributions paid on a quarterly schedule. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years, and its most recent ex-dividend date was August 20, 2026.

CHRD dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 12 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $176.88, representing a 14.4% upside compared to the last close of $154.56. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $6.87B and EPS of $21.86, an expected EPS growth of 129.4%. However, 17 analysts project next fiscal year EPS to fall 16.2% to $18.33 on a 17.1% revenue decline to $5.69B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.

CHRD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Profitability has experienced sharp swings, with gross margin declining from 49.1% in FY2022 to 6.5% in FY2025.
  • Earnings growth remains volatile, as shown by a 48.2% year-over-year quarterly earnings decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Short interest stands at 9.6% of the float, indicating notable short positioning.
  • Analyst earnings consistency is mixed, with EPS beats in only 2 of the past 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CHRD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CHRD income statement, CHRD balance sheet, CHRD key metrics, CHRD analyst forecast, CHRD chart. See the CHRD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CHRD AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Chord Energy's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Chord Energy has a forward annual dividend of $5.20 per share, resulting in a 3.36% dividend yield. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly basis with a payout ratio of 35.5%.

Where does Chord Energy primarily operate?

Chord Energy is an independent exploration and production company headquartered in Houston, Texas, with operations primarily concentrated in the Williston Basin.

What is the consensus analyst price target for CHRD?

The mean analyst price target is $176.88, which is 14.4% above the last closing price of $154.56 on October 16, 2026.

When does Chord Energy report its next quarterly results?

Chord Energy's next earnings release date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

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