Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AUGOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AUGO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO) is a gold and copper producer developing projects across the Americas. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.29B in revenue with an operating margin of 51.4% and diluted EPS of $3.54. Over the past year, the stock returned 127.4%, closing at $87.20 on October 16, 2026.

Market cap
$7.31B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.29B
P/E
24.6x
fwd 8.8x
1Y return
127.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$102.96
18.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 76.4% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings grew 2244.7%.
  • Operating margin reached 51.4% on a TTM basis, compared to the 18.5% median for US-listed Basic Materials peers.
  • Analysts expect FY2026 EPS to surge 134.1% to $6.15, supporting a mean price target of $102.96.

Bear case

  • Aura Minerals recorded negative net income in both FY2024 at -$30.3M and FY2025 at -$79.3M.
  • The company has missed profit forecasts consistently, recording 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
  • Short interest stands relatively high, with short interest accounting for 16.9% of float.

What Aura Minerals Inc. does

Aura Minerals Inc., formerly known as Aura Gold Inc., is a gold and copper production company focused on developing and operating gold and base metal projects across the Americas. The company operates through five key segments: The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects. Its operations primarily explore and produce gold, copper, and silver deposits. Incorporated in 1946 and headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida, the company completed its NASDAQ IPO in 2025.

Growth and profitability

Aura Minerals expanded its annual revenue from $424.0M in FY2021 to $921.7M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 25.2%. Revenue fell 7.4% in FY2022 to $392.7M before climbing 6.2% in FY2023, 42.5% in FY2024 to $594.2M, and 55.1% in FY2025. Over that span, gross margin widened from 44.4% in FY2021 to 58.0% in FY2025, and operating margin rose from 36.8% to 49.2%. Net income fluctuated, dropping to -$30.3M in FY2024 and -$79.3M in FY2025, though free cash flow rose to $78.5M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 76.4% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 2244.7%, bringing TTM revenue to $1.29B.

AUGO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aura Minerals held $248.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $458.0M, resulting in net debt of $209.7M. Total assets were $1.70B and shareholders' equity was $456.5M, yielding a current ratio of 1.06 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00. In FY2025, the company generated $257.9M in operating cash flow, allocating $179.4M to capital expenditures, $115.8M to dividends paid, and $351,000 to share buybacks.

AUGO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Aura Minerals trades at an enterprise value of $7.37B and a market cap of $7.31B. Its trailing P/E of 24.6x and EV/EBITDA of 12.6x trade above the medians of 19.7x and 10.5x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The forward P/E of 8.8x sits below the peer median of 13.4x, while price-to-sales of 5.7x exceeds the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, AUGO gained 127.4%, compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), and delivered a 5-year return of 1062.5% versus 83.0% for the index.

AUGO key metrics →

AUGO dividend

Aura Minerals pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $2.64, yielding 3.03%. The company's payout ratio is 76.1%, and it has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years. Its last ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026, following $115.8M in total dividends paid in FY2025.

AUGO dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $102.96, which is 18.1% above the last close of $87.20. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $6.15, implying EPS growth of 134.1%. The company logged 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

AUGO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $458.0M exceeds cash and short-term investments of $248.3M, leaving net debt at $209.7M.
  • The dividend payout ratio of 76.1% demands significant cash alongside capital expenditures of $179.4M in FY2025.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-book multiple of 15.7x and a price-to-sales multiple of 5.7x, well above the peer median price-to-sales of 1.8x.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AUGO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AUGO income statement, AUGO balance sheet, AUGO key metrics, AUGO analyst forecast, AUGO chart. See the AUGO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AUGO AI stock analysis FAQ

What is AUGO's dividend yield and payout schedule?

AUGO pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $2.64, representing a 3.03% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 76.1%.

What do analysts forecast for AUGO's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $6.15. For the following fiscal year, estimates project revenue of $2.61B and EPS of $7.88.

How has AUGO performed against the S&P 500?

AUGO gained 127.4% over the past year and 1062.5% over the past 5 years. In comparison, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% over 1 year and 83.0% over 5 years.

When is Aura Minerals' next earnings report?

Aura Minerals is scheduled to report earnings on November 5, 2026. The company had 0 EPS beats over the trailing 4 quarters.

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