Gold Fields Limited (GFI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GFIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GFI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a global gold producer with interests in nine operational mines and annual gold-equivalent production of approximately 2.34 million ounces. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $11.37B in revenue with an operating margin of 55.0%. Its shares offer a 5.73% dividend yield while trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7x.

Market cap
$33.50B
Revenue (TTM)
$11.37B
P/E
7.7x
fwd 8.0x
1Y return
-15.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$47.34
25.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Free cash flow surged to $3.12B in FY2025, supported by $4.55B in operating cash flow.
  • Trailing twelve months profitability is strong, featuring an operating margin of 55.0% and return on equity of 58.7%.
  • The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 5.4x, well below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 10.5x.

Bear case

  • The stock has underperformed recently, falling 15.1% over the past year compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Shares closed at $37.60 on October 16, 2026, trading 10.5% below their 200-day moving average and well off the 52-week high of $61.64.
  • The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 90.3%, which could constrain dividend growth if cash flows contract.

What Gold Fields does

Gold Fields Limited is a gold producer established in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa. The company operates across diverse geographic regions including Chile, South Africa, Ghana, West Africa, Australia, and Peru. It manages a portfolio that includes interests in nine operational mines contributing to an annual gold-equivalent production of approximately 2.34 million ounces. Gold Fields also holds substantial gold mineral reserves of about 48.6 million ounces and mineral resources totaling around 111.8 million ounces, while actively pursuing copper exploration deposits.

Growth and profitability

Gold Fields grew annual revenue from $4.20B in FY2021 to $5.20B in FY2024, followed by a 68.8% surge to $8.78B in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 17.7%. Net income expanded from $789.3M in FY2021 to $3.58B in FY2025, lifting net margin from 18.8% to 40.8% and earnings per share from $0.97 to $4.05. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $11.37B with a profit margin of 38.6%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 78.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 81.4%.

GFI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Gold Fields reported $2.20B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.63B, leaving net debt at $437.4M. Shareholders' equity was $8.97B against total assets of $15.60B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 and a current ratio of 1.87. Operating cash flow reached $4.55B in FY2025, yielding free cash flow of $3.12B. During FY2025, the company funded $1.43B in capital expenditures, paid $710.0M in dividends, and directed $36.4M toward share buybacks.

GFI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $37.60 as of October 16, 2026, Gold Fields carries a market capitalization of $33.50B and an enterprise value of $38.02B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7x and a forward ratio of 8.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA sits at 5.4x compared to the peer median of 10.5x. Over the past year, the stock declined 15.1%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500, but delivered a 5-year return of 378.7% versus 83.0% for the index.

GFI key metrics →

GFI dividend

Gold Fields pays a semiannual dividend with a forward payout of $2.15 per share, representing a dividend yield of 5.73%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 41 years. Over the last five years, its annualized dividend growth reached 37.1%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 90.3%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.

GFI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment reflects 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $47.34 implies upside of 25.9% from the last close of $37.60. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project earnings per share of $4.26, up 47.9%, on revenue of $191.84B. The company beat earnings per share estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

GFI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Gold Fields carries total debt of $2.63B and net debt of $437.4M, requiring sustained cash flow generation.
  • Capital expenditures reached $1.43B in FY2025, highlighting the capital-intensive nature of its mining operations.
  • The high payout ratio of 90.3% leaves a slim margin to support the $2.15 forward dividend if earnings decline.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GFI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Gold Fields Limited (GFI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GFI income statement, GFI balance sheet, GFI key metrics, GFI analyst forecast, GFI chart. See the GFI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GFI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Gold Fields' dividend yield and payout schedule?

Gold Fields pays a semiannual dividend yielding 5.73%, with an annual forward dividend of $2.15 per share and a payout ratio of 90.3%.

How has Gold Fields performed relative to the market?

Gold Fields returned 378.7% over the past five years compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500, though its 1-year return fell 15.1% while the index gained 16.8%.

What are analysts forecasting for Gold Fields' earnings?

Analysts project earnings per share of $4.26 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing expected growth of 47.9%, followed by $4.87 for the next fiscal year.

What is Gold Fields' financial leverage position?

As of June 30, 2026, Gold Fields had $2.20B in cash and short-term investments, $2.63B in total debt, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29.

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