Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) AI Stock Analysis
PAAS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPan American Silver Corp. (NYSE: PAAS) is a Vancouver-based precious and base metals mining company with operations across the Americas. The company delivered $3.68B in revenue and $995.1M in net income for FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.4%. It maintains a liquid balance sheet with $863.0M in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $18.33B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.31B
- P/E
- 13.1x fwd 12.4x
- 1Y return
- 6.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $60.74 37.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating cash flow reached $1.40B and free cash flow was $1.08B in FY2025, supporting dividend distributions and exploration investments.
- The balance sheet carries $863.0M in net cash with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 13.1x, below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 19.7x.
Bear case
- The company's 5-year share count increased by 99.7%, indicating substantial equity dilution.
- The stock fell 13.9% year-to-date and sits 15.2% below its 200-day average as of October 16, 2026.
- Earnings have historically been volatile, swinging from a net loss of $340.1M in FY2022 to positive net income in FY2024 and FY2025.
What Pan American Silver does
Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, Pan American Silver Corp. explores, develops, extracts, processes, and refines precious and base metals. The company operates mines across Canada, Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia, producing silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper. Key assets include the La Colorada, Dolores, Huaron, and Morococha mines. Founded in 1979 as Pan American Minerals Corp. and rebranded in 1995, the company focuses on operational efficiency, resource expansion, and sustainable mining practices across its diversified asset base.
Growth and profitability
Pan American Silver expanded revenue from $1.63B in FY2021 to $3.68B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 22.4%. Operating margin rebounded from -17.5% in FY2022 to 32.3% in FY2025, while net margin improved to 27.0%. For FY2025, net income reached $995.1M, generating $1.08B in free cash flow. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $4.31B with an operating margin of 37.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 38.4% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 38.5% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Pan American Silver held $1.70B in cash and short-term investments against $840.0M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $863.0M. The company's current ratio was 2.94, and its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.11 on $7.35B of shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.40B, which funded $319.5M in capital expenditures, $178.1M in dividends paid, and $46.8M in share buybacks. The company's share count increased 99.7% over the past 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Pan American Silver trades at a trailing P/E of 13.1x and a forward P/E of 12.4x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio of 8.2x sits below the peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 4.3x is higher than the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, PAAS generated a 6.6% return, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, PAAS returned 94.2%, outpacing the SPY return of 83.0%.
PAAS dividend
Pan American Silver pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.74, representing a 1.66% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 15.9%. The payout ratio stands at 20.1%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 24, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $60.74, representing 37.4% upside against the last close of $44.21. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.41, up 34.2%, on revenue of $4.44B. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $4.73B and EPS of $4.36. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A stock beta of 1.58 indicates higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
- Past earnings volatility is evident from negative operating margins of -17.5% in FY2022 and 1.6% in FY2023.
- The company beat EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters, showing inconsistency against consensus targets.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PAAS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PAAS income statement, PAAS balance sheet, PAAS key metrics, PAAS analyst forecast, PAAS chart. See the PAAS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PAAS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Pan American Silver's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Pan American Silver pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward amount of $0.74 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.66%. The payout ratio is 20.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years.
What are analysts' price targets for PAAS stock?
The mean price target among analysts is $60.74, which represents a 37.4% upside from its last close of $44.21 on October 16, 2026. Analyst recommendations include 4 Strong Buys, 3 Buys, and 2 Holds.
How leveraged is Pan American Silver?
As of June 30, 2026, Pan American Silver held $1.70B in cash and short-term investments against $840.0M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $863.0M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.11, and its current ratio is 2.94.
When does Pan American Silver report earnings next?
Pan American Silver is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates expect revenue of $4.44B and EPS of $3.41.