Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ASPNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ASPN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. manufactures aerogel insulation products for energy infrastructure, building materials, and electric vehicle applications. After generating $452.7M in revenue and turning profitable in FY2024, revenue contracted 40.1% to $271.1M in FY2025 alongside a net loss of -$389.6M. The company maintains a net cash position of $26.6M as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$430.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$202.1M
P/E
—
fwd 714.3x
1Y return
-37.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.75
49.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • The consensus analyst price target of $7.75 indicates a potential upside of 49.3% over the $5.19 closing price.
  • Analysts forecast revenue to rebound 24.8% to $280.4M in the fiscal year following FY2026.
  • The balance sheet maintains positive liquidity with $151.7M in cash and short-term investments, supporting net cash of $26.6M.

Bear case

  • Net loss expanded significantly in FY2025 to -$389.6M, resulting in a net margin of -143.7%.
  • Quarterly revenue dropped 36.1% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026, reflecting ongoing operational contractions.
  • Aspen Aerogels recorded 0 EPS beats across the last 4 quarters, highlighting recent execution challenges.

What Aspen Aerogels does

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes advanced aerogel insulation products for energy infrastructure and building materials markets globally. Headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts, the company serves electric vehicles, energy storage, power generation, and oil production sectors. Its product portfolio features PyroThin for thermal management in lithium-ion batteries to improve electric vehicle efficiency and safety. The company also produces Pyrogel XTE to mitigate corrosion risks in energy infrastructure, Pyrogel HPS for power generation, Cryogel Z for sub-ambient and cryogenic settings, Spaceloft Subsea for offshore pipe-in-pipe installations, and Spaceloft Grey and Spaceloft A2 for building insulation.

Growth and profitability

Aspen Aerogels experienced substantial revenue expansion between FY2021 and FY2024, climbing from $121.6M to a peak of $452.7M, achieving net income of $13.4M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue fell 40.1% to $271.1M, gross margin contracted from 40.4% to 17.0%, and net losses widened to -$389.6M. Operating cash flow remained positive in FY2025 at $32.9M, while free cash flow stood at -$4.6M. Contraction persisted into the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, with revenue of $202.1M, an operating margin of -29.2%, and quarterly revenue falling 36.1% year-over-year.

ASPN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aspen Aerogels held $151.7M in cash and short-term investments against $125.1M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $26.6M. Shareholders' equity was $192.5M alongside total assets of $392.9M. The company maintains a current ratio of 2.52 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $37.4M, while the company's share count increased 153.9% over a 5-year period.

ASPN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $5.19, Aspen Aerogels carries a market cap of $430.7M and an enterprise value of $444.8M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 714.3x, well above the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 65.4x compared to the peer median of 10.5x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 2.1x versus the peer median of 1.8x. ASPN shares dropped 37.5% over the past 12 months, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but gained 83.4% year-to-date.

ASPN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Hold rating, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target is $7.75, representing an upside of 49.3% from the last close of $5.19. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$0.58 on revenue of $224.7M. Consensus for the next fiscal year calls for revenue of $280.4M and EPS of -$0.15. The company delivered 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date set for November 5, 2026.

ASPN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Aspen Aerogels exhibited high stock volatility with a beta of 3.06.
  • Significant dilution has occurred, with the company's share count increasing 153.9% over 5 years.
  • Short interest stands at 8.7% of the float, indicating meaningful negative sentiment among market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ASPN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ASPN income statement, ASPN balance sheet, ASPN key metrics, ASPN analyst forecast, ASPN chart. See the ASPN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ASPN AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Aspen Aerogels pay a dividend?

No, Aspen Aerogels does not pay a dividend.

What is Aspen Aerogels' next earnings date?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

What products does Aspen Aerogels manufacture?

The company produces advanced aerogel insulation including PyroThin for EV batteries, Pyrogel XTE and Pyrogel HPS for energy infrastructure and power generation, Cryogel Z for sub-ambient systems, Spaceloft Subsea for offshore pipelines, and Spaceloft Grey and A2 for building construction.

What is the consensus analyst target price for ASPN stock?

The mean analyst price target is $7.75, which sits 49.3% above its closing price of $5.19 as of October 16, 2026.

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