Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ARWRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ARWR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR) is a biotechnology company developing RNA interference therapeutics for genetic disorders, cardiometabolic conditions, and respiratory diseases. The company generated $829.4M in revenue in FY2025 with an operating margin of 11.9% following volatile prior periods. Its balance sheet is anchored by $1.60B in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash position of $737.9M.

Market cap
$7.90B
Revenue (TTM)
$669.5M
P/E
—
fwd 111.1x
1Y return
43.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$107.71
92.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company closed FY2025 with $829.4M in revenue and generated positive free cash flow of $156.9M.
  • Liquidity is supported by $1.60B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $737.9M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Arrowhead's mean analyst price target is $107.71, indicating 92.7% potential upside from the last close of $55.90.

Bear case

  • Analyst projections anticipate revenue declining 29.3% in the next fiscal year to $328.2M with EPS deepening to -$4.98.
  • Arrowhead's trailing twelve months operating margin is -226.0% with an EPS of -$2.28.
  • The stock's forward P/E of 111.1x and price-to-sales of 11.8x trade well above the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 17.3x and 4.1x, respectively.

What Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals does

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. develops RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics designed to address unmet medical needs across challenging diseases. Its clinical pipeline includes ARO-AAT, which is in Phase II clinical trials for liver diseases linked to alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency. The company is advancing ARO-APOC3 and ARO-ANG3 in clinical stages for hypertriglyceridemia and dyslipidemia, while ARO-HSD completed Phase 1/2 trials for liver diseases. Arrowhead is also developing ARO-DUX4 for facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy, ARO-XDH for uncontrolled gout, ARO-COV for COVID-19, and ARO-RAGE and ARO-MMP7 for respiratory conditions. The company collaborates strategically with partners including Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc.

Growth and profitability

Arrowhead demonstrated substantial top-line volatility across recent fiscal years. Revenue stood at $138.3M in FY2021 and rose 75.9% to $243.2M in FY2022, before edging down 1.0% to $240.7M in FY2023. Revenue fell 98.5% in FY2024 to $3.6M with net income of -$599.5M, before rebounding 23258.2% to $829.4M in FY2025. This drove a 5-year revenue CAGR of 56.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2025, operating margin reached 11.9% and net income was -$1.6M, supported by a gross margin of 100.0% alongside R&D expense of $607.2M. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 171.0% year-over-year, while trailing twelve months revenue reached $669.5M with an operating margin of -226.0%.

ARWR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Arrowhead held $1.60B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $864.1M, yielding net cash of $737.9M. The company maintains liquidity with a current ratio of 5.90, while shareholders' equity stands at $465.5M and total assets total $2.11B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86. Free cash flow improved to $156.9M in FY2025 from -$604.3M in FY2024, supported by operating cash flow of $179.6M. Capital expenditures were $22.7M in FY2025, and share count expanded 37.2% over 5 years.

ARWR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Arrowhead trades at an enterprise value of $8.84B and a market cap of $7.90B. Its forward P/E of 111.1x trades well above the 17.3x forward P/E median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. The company's price-to-sales multiple is 11.8x, compared to the peer median of 4.1x, and its EV/EBITDA stands at 27.9x versus the peer median of 12.0x. Price to book is 20.6x. Over the past year, Arrowhead returned 43.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -15.5% lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

ARWR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst sentiment is positive, with 10 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, and no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $107.71 suggests 92.7% upside relative to the last close of $55.90. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $464.1M and EPS of -$3.51. For the following fiscal year, 15 analysts expect revenue of $328.2M and EPS of -$4.98. Arrowhead beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 24, 2026.

ARWR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Historical revenues have fluctuated sharply, dropping from $240.7M in FY2023 to $3.6M in FY2024 before surging in FY2025.
  • The company carries total debt of $864.1M, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86.
  • Arrowhead expanded its share count by 37.2% over 5 years, contributing to shareholder dilution.
  • With a beta of 1.30, the stock has traded 22.5% below its 200-day average and remains well below its 52-week high of $95.49.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ARWR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARWR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ARWR income statement, ARWR balance sheet, ARWR key metrics, ARWR analyst forecast, ARWR chart. See the ARWR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ARWR AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals do?

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. develops RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics targeting rare genetic diseases, cardiometabolic conditions, and respiratory disorders. Its pipeline includes clinical candidates such as ARO-AAT, ARO-APOC3, and ARO-ANG3, along with collaborations with Janssen Pharmaceuticals and Takeda Pharmaceuticals.

Does Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals pay a dividend?

No, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward research and development, which totaled $607.2M in FY2025.

What is Arrowhead's current cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Arrowhead held $1.60B in cash and short-term investments against $864.1M in total debt. This provides the company with net cash of $737.9M and a current ratio of 5.90.

When does Arrowhead report its next earnings?

Arrowhead is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 24, 2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, is -$3.51 on revenue of $464.1M.

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