Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS) AI Stock Analysis
AQMS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS) is a Reno, Nevada-based metals recycling company utilizing its patented AquaRefining electroplating technology to recover materials from spent batteries. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated revenue of $0 and reported an EPS of -$2.53. With a market capitalization of $6.1M, the stock has declined 89.2% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $6.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $0
- P/E
- — fwd 67.6x
- 1Y return
- -89.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $5.00 194.1% vs last close
Bull case
- The covering analyst sets a mean price target of $5.00, representing a potential upside of 194.1% over the last close of $1.70.
- Aqua Metals maintains net cash of $4.3M with total debt limited to $441,000 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x alongside a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05.
Bear case
- Revenue fell to $0 over the trailing twelve months, reflecting a 100.0% year-over-year revenue decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company produced negative free cash flow of -$13.1M in FY2023 alongside a 5-year revenue CAGR of -64.5%.
- Shareholders have experienced substantial dilution, as the company's share count increased 804.8% over five years.
What Aqua Metals does
Aqua Metals, Inc. focuses on metals recycling through its patented AquaRefining technology, producing metals and alloys designed for reintegration into battery manufacturing supply chains and advanced manufacturing industries. Central to its operations is AquaRefining, a low-emission recycling method that replaces traditional polluting furnaces and hazardous chemicals with electricity-powered electroplating. This process efficiently recovers metals and materials from spent batteries while minimizing emissions and chemical waste. Headquartered in Reno, Nevada, the company was founded in 2014 and aims to advance sustainable, clean, and efficient metal recovery solutions.
Growth and profitability
Aqua Metals experienced significant revenue contraction and sustained losses between FY2019 and FY2023. Revenue dropped from $4.9M in FY2019 to $108,000 in FY2020, rose to $173,000 in FY2021, fell to $4,000 in FY2022, and reached $25,000 in FY2023, resulting in a 5-year revenue CAGR of -64.5%. Net income was -$44.8M in FY2019, -$25.8M in FY2020, -$18.2M in FY2021, -$15.4M in FY2022, and -$23.9M in FY2023, where the net margin was -95752.0%. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue was $0, with quarterly revenue growth of -100.0% year-over-year and an EPS of -$2.53.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Aqua Metals held $4.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $441,000, resulting in net cash of $4.3M. Total assets stood at $12.6M against shareholders' equity of $9.5M. The company maintains a current ratio of 2.43 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05. Free cash flow was negative at -$13.1M in FY2023. For FY2025, capital expenditures totaled $425,000, while the company's share count increased by 804.8% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Aqua Metals carries a market capitalization of $6.1M and an enterprise value of $4.6M. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x and a forward P/E ratio of 67.6x, compared to a forward P/E median of 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales ratio stands at 865.5x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, AQMS shares returned -89.2%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock dropped 99.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark index.
What analysts expect
Aqua Metals is covered by 1 analyst who maintains a Buy rating, with 0 Strong Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $5.00, representing an upside of 194.1% over the last close of $1.70. Over the past four quarters, Aqua Metals beat consensus EPS estimates 2 times. The company's next earnings date is November 11, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- With cash and short-term investments of $4.7M and an FY2023 operating cash flow of -$3.2M, the company faces ongoing liquidity and cash burn requirements.
- The stock has declined 89.2% over the past year and trades 54.6% below its 200-day moving average.
- AQMS trades at a forward P/E of 67.6x despite recording an EPS of -$2.53 over the trailing twelve months.
- Insiders own 14.4% and institutions hold 8.3% of shares, while short interest represents 5.8% of the float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AQMS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AQMS income statement, AQMS balance sheet, AQMS key metrics, AQMS analyst forecast, AQMS chart. See the AQMS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AQMS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Aqua Metals' primary technology?
Aqua Metals utilizes AquaRefining, a patented, electricity-powered electroplating recycling technology that recovers metals and materials from spent batteries without conventional polluting furnaces or hazardous chemicals.
Does Aqua Metals pay a dividend?
Aqua Metals does not pay a dividend.
What is Aqua Metals' current cash and debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $4.7M in cash and short-term investments and $441,000 in total debt, resulting in net cash of $4.3M.
What is the analyst price target for AQMS stock?
The 1 covering analyst has a Buy rating and a mean price target of $5.00, which is 194.1% above the last close of $1.70.
When is Aqua Metals' next earnings report?
Aqua Metals is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 11, 2026.