Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) AI Stock Analysis
RSG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRepublic Services, Inc. (RSG) is a US environmental services provider with a market capitalization of $70.90B. In FY2025, the company generated $16.59B in revenue, delivered $2.41B in free cash flow, and maintained a trailing twelve months operating margin of 20.4%. With a five-year revenue CAGR of 10.3%, the firm continues steady expansion across its waste and recycling networks.
- Market cap
- $70.90B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $16.89B
- P/E
- 32.8x fwd 26.3x
- 1Y return
- 7.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $243.46 5.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Republic Services generated $2.41B in free cash flow and $4.30B in operating cash flow in FY2025, supporting steady capital deployment.
- The company has increased profitability, raising its gross margin to 42.0% in FY2025 and achieving an operating margin of 20.4% over the trailing twelve months.
- RSG demonstrated steady execution with 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters and an expected EPS of $8.07 for the next fiscal year.
Bear case
- Republic Services carries significant balance sheet leverage, with net debt of $14.19B and a current ratio of 0.64 as of June 30, 2026.
- Annual top-line growth decelerated to 3.5% in FY2025, and latest quarterly revenue growth of 4.6% remains below the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 10.3%.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 26.3x, which represents a valuation premium against the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 20.1x.
What Republic Services does
Republic Services, Inc., established in 1996 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, operates as a provider of environmental services across 41 states. The company manages the collection, processing, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste and recyclable materials for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its infrastructure includes transfer stations, landfills, recycling processing centers, and renewable energy projects. Republic Services offers curbside collection, container supplies, compactor rentals, and in-plant services such as transportation and logistics solutions, while also processing materials like old corrugated containers, aluminum, and glass.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Republic Services expanded revenue from $11.29B to $16.59B, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.3%. Annual revenue growth moderated from 19.6% in FY2022 to 7.1% in FY2024 and 3.5% in FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 42.0% in FY2025 from 30.6% in FY2024, while operating margin held steady at 20.0%. Net income increased from $1.29B in FY2021 to $2.14B in FY2025, lifting EPS to $7.01. Free cash flow also grew consistently, reaching $2.41B in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.6% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 5.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Republic Services held $107.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $14.29B, resulting in net debt of $14.19B. Total assets stood at $35.16B and shareholders' equity was $12.03B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 and a current ratio of 0.64. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $4.30B. Cash deployment included $1.89B in capital expenditures, $870.0M for share buybacks, and $738.0M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -3.4%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $231.54, Republic Services trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8x and a forward P/E of 26.3x, both above the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 28.4x and 20.1x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.2x versus the peer median of 3.1x, while its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 15.9x compared to the peer median of 17.7x. Over the past year, RSG returned 7.4%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, RSG gained 92.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 83.0%.
RSG dividend
Republic Services pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $2.68, reflecting a dividend yield of 1.16%. The payout ratio is 35.3%, and the company has maintained 24 consecutive years paid. Over the past five years, the annualized dividend growth rate was 7.3%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 12 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 12 Hold recommendations, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $243.46, representing 5.1% upside over the last close of $231.54. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.27 on revenue of $17.31B. For the next fiscal year, 26 analysts project EPS of $8.07 on revenue of $18.16B. The company recorded 4 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.19 alongside total debt of $14.29B creates ongoing debt service requirements.
- A current ratio of 0.64 reflects short-term liquidity that is below current obligations.
- A PEG ratio of 2.74 indicates the multiple is elevated relative to the projected current fiscal year EPS growth rate of 3.6%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RSG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Republic Services, Inc. (RSG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RSG income statement, RSG balance sheet, RSG key metrics, RSG analyst forecast, RSG chart. See the RSG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RSG AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Republic Services pay a dividend?
Yes, Republic Services pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $2.68 per share and a dividend yield of 1.16%. The company has recorded 24 consecutive years paid with a payout ratio of 35.3%.
What do analysts project for RSG stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $243.46, which is 5.1% above the last close of $231.54. The rating breakdown includes 12 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 12 Hold recommendations, with 0 Sell ratings.
When is Republic Services reporting next earnings?
The company's next earnings date is October 29, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.27 and revenue of $17.31B.
What is Republic Services' valuation compared to peers?
Republic Services trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8x and a forward P/E of 26.3x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 28.4x and 20.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value is $79.44B and its EV-to-EBITDA is 15.9x.