AppLovin Corporation (APP) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: APPAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

APP AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

AppLovin Corporation provides marketing software and monetization platforms for mobile app developers and connected TV content distributors. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $6.83B in revenue with a 77.7% operating margin and an operating cash flow of $3.97B in FY2025. Despite recent growth, the stock has declined 56.1% over the past year to close at $266.13.

Market cap
$89.40B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.83B
P/E
20.5x
fwd 15.4x
1Y return
-56.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$480.08
80.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 52.8% and quarterly earnings increased 57.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • AppLovin generated $3.94B in free cash flow in FY2025 while maintaining an operating margin of 77.7% over the trailing twelve months.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 15.4x, which is lower than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers at 21.9x.

Bear case

  • Shares have fallen 60.5% year-to-date and sit 38.8% below their 200-day moving average.
  • The stock carries a high beta of 2.56, reflecting elevated price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated on an enterprise level, with an EV/EBITDA of 19.1x and price-to-sales of 13.1x exceeding peer medians.

What AppLovin does

AppLovin Corporation operates software solutions designed to help mobile app developers market and monetize their applications globally. Its portfolio includes AppDiscovery, a marketing platform that matches advertiser demand with publisher ad supply using auction mechanics. The company also offers Adjust, an analytics platform used to measure, optimize, and protect user data. For app monetization, AppLovin provides MAX, an in-app bidding solution that runs real-time competitive auctions to maximize advertising inventory revenue. Additionally, its Wurl platform provides connected TV services and streaming video distribution infrastructure to content companies, serving advertisers and internet platforms across the digital ecosystem.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, AppLovin expanded annual revenue from $2.79B to $5.48B, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.4%. After revenue contracted 34.6% in FY2023 to $1.84B, it rebounded with 75.1% growth in FY2024 and 70.0% growth in FY2025. Gross margin widened from 64.6% in FY2021 to 87.9% in FY2025, while operating margin rose to 75.8% from 5.4% over the same timeframe. Net income reached $3.33B in FY2025, translating to diluted EPS of $10.67. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 52.8% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 57.0%.

APP income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, AppLovin held $3.05B in cash and short-term investments against $3.52B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $461.8M. The company reported a current ratio of 4.30 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11 on shareholders' equity of $3.16B. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $3.97B while capital expenditures totaled $28.3M, yielding free cash flow of $3.94B. The company deployed $2.19B toward share buybacks in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -1.4%.

APP balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

AppLovin carries a market capitalization of $89.40B and an enterprise value of $105.96B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.5x, above the 17.1x median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers, but its forward P/E of 15.4x sits below the peer median of 21.9x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 13.1x compared to the peer median of 7.0x, and its EV/EBITDA is 19.1x versus the peer median of 12.5x. Over the past year, the shares fell 56.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

APP key metrics →

What analysts expect

AppLovin has 20 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations from analysts, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $480.08 represents an 80.4% premium over the last closing price of $266.13. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $15.65 on revenue of $8.09B. For the following fiscal year, 27 analysts project EPS of $19.92 on revenue of $10.20B. AppLovin has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.

APP forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • AppLovin maintains $3.52B in total debt and $461.8M in net debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Historical results show top-line volatility, including a 34.6% revenue decline in FY2023.
  • The stock traded at $266.13, near its 52-week low of $260.59 and well below its 52-week high of $738.01.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this APP AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of AppLovin Corporation (APP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: APP income statement, APP balance sheet, APP key metrics, APP analyst forecast, APP chart. See the APP stock overview for the latest quote and news.

APP AI stock analysis FAQ

Does AppLovin pay a dividend?

AppLovin does not pay a dividend. Instead, the company utilized $2.19B for share buybacks during FY2025.

What is AppLovin's net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, AppLovin reported $3.05B in cash and short-term investments alongside $3.52B in total debt, leaving net debt at $461.8M.

When is AppLovin's next earnings release?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What are analysts' consensus expectations for AppLovin?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $480.08, which is 80.4% above its close of $266.13. For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $15.65 on revenue of $8.09B.

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