Criteo S.A (CRTO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CRTOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CRTO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Criteo S.A. (CRTO) is an advertising technology company providing marketing and monetization services globally. In FY2025, the company generated $1.94B in revenue with net income of $144.6M and free cash flow of $208.5M. However, recent performance has softened, with quarterly revenue falling 11.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$751.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.86B
P/E
7.8x
fwd 5.0x
1Y return
-22.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$20.15
31.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Gross margin expanded from 34.7% in FY2021 to 54.0% in FY2025, lifting net income to $144.6M.
  • Criteo maintains a solid balance sheet with $132.1M in net cash and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Valuation multiples remain compressed, including a forward P/E of 5.0x compared to the US-listed Communication Services peer median of 14.1x.

Bear case

  • Revenue expansion has been constrained, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.3% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 11.3% and quarterly earnings fell 43.6% year-over-year.
  • Analyst consensus estimates project EPS to decline 9.6% to $3.48 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

What Criteo S.A does

Headquartered in Paris, France, Criteo S.A. provides marketing and monetization services across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. The company utilizes its proprietary Criteo Shopper Graph to access exclusive commerce transaction data from clients. Central to its platform is the Criteo AI Engine, which runs lookalike finder tools, recommendation systems, and predictive bidding algorithms. Criteo also offers dynamic creative optimization+ to tailor individual creative elements. Its business operates through Criteo Marketing Solutions and Retail Media, helping commerce brands engage shoppers and enabling retailers to monetize their audience data.

Growth and profitability

Criteo's annual revenue moved from $2.25B in FY2021 to $1.94B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.3%. Despite the top-line contraction over that span, gross margin widened from 34.7% in FY2021 to 54.0% in FY2025. Operating margin also improved to 10.4% in FY2025 from 6.7% in FY2021, while net income rose to $144.6M with EPS of $4.63. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.86B with a profit margin of 5.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 11.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings fell 43.6%.

CRTO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Criteo held $280.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $148.2M, yielding net cash of $132.1M. Shareholders' equity was $1.13B, and the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.13 with a current ratio of 1.29. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $311.2M, funding $102.7M in capital expenditures and producing free cash flow of $208.5M. Criteo used $152.1M for share buybacks in FY2025, contributing to a 21.0% reduction in share count over 5 years.

CRTO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CRTO shares closed at $15.34 on October 16, 2026, representing a market cap of $751.6M and an enterprise value of $670.1M. Criteo trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8x and a forward P/E of 5.0x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers at 16.2x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 2.4x is also below the peer median of 10.0x. Over the past year, Criteo shares returned -22.5% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500, while its 5-year return of -58.8% trailed the index's 83.0% gain.

CRTO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 5 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $20.15, which is 31.4% above the last close of $15.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.05B and EPS of $3.48, representing an earnings decline of 9.6%. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts project revenue of $1.08B and EPS of $3.88. Criteo beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

CRTO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly top-line contraction is a key risk, highlighted by revenue falling 11.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has significantly lagged the broader market, returning -58.8% over 5 years compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Consensus expectations project FY2026 revenue of $1.05B, down markedly from $1.94B reported in FY2025.
  • Trailing twelve month operating margin softened to 5.8%, down from 10.4% achieved in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CRTO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Criteo S.A (CRTO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CRTO income statement, CRTO balance sheet, CRTO key metrics, CRTO analyst forecast, CRTO chart. See the CRTO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CRTO AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Criteo pay a dividend?

Criteo does not pay a dividend, instead directing capital toward business investments and share buybacks such as the $152.1M deployed in FY2025.

What is Criteo's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Criteo held $280.3M in cash and short-term investments against $148.2M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $132.1M.

How do Criteo's valuation multiples compare to its peer group?

Criteo trades at a trailing P/E of 7.8x and EV/EBITDA of 2.4x, which are both lower than the US-listed Communication Services peer medians of 16.2x and 10.0x.

When is Criteo's next earnings report?

Criteo's next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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