Aon plc (AON) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AON AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aon plc (AON) is a global professional services firm providing risk, retirement, and health solutions. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $17.58B in revenue with a profit margin of 22.3% and diluted earnings per share of $18.14. Its stock has delivered a 1-year return of -13.9%, closing at $292.55 while carrying $15.87B in total debt.

Market cap
$62.06B
Revenue (TTM)
$17.58B
P/E
16.1x
fwd 13.5x
1Y return
-13.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$354.21
21.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Aon has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and generated $3.22B in free cash flow in FY2025.
  • The company's enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 11.0x trades at a discount to the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 15.7x.
  • Wall Street analysts project FY2027 revenue to expand 20.9% to $21.66B, supported by a mean price target of $354.21.

Bear case

  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings growth declined 3.0% year-over-year while revenue grew only 2.2%.
  • Total debt reached $15.87B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64 and net debt of $14.61B.
  • The stock has underperformed the broader market, returning -13.9% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.

What Aon does

Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, Aon plc is a global professional services firm established in 1919 with 60,000 employees. The company provides advice and solutions across risk, retirement, and health. Its commercial risk solutions include retail brokerage, specialized risk management, global risk consulting, captives management, and affinity programs. In health, Aon provides health and benefits brokerages alongside healthcare exchanges. The firm also offers treaty and facultative reinsurance, insurance-linked securities, and strategic advisory for capital raising, restructuring, and mergers and acquisitions, alongside retirement design consulting, actuarial services, and corporate finance advisory.

Growth and profitability

Aon grew revenue from $12.19B in FY2021 to $17.18B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 9.2%. Annual revenue grew 10.2% in FY2021, 2.3% in FY2022, 7.2% in FY2023, 17.4% in FY2024, and 9.4% in FY2025. Over the same period, net income rose from $1.25B in FY2021 to $3.69B in FY2025, with net margin improving from 10.3% to 21.5%. Diluted earnings per share increased from $12.02 in FY2021 to $17.06 in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 2.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth declined 3.0%.

AON income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aon held $1.27B in cash and short-term investments against $15.87B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $14.61B. Shareholders' equity stood at $9.66B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64 and a current ratio of 1.03. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $3.48B and free cash flow was $3.22B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $263.0M in capital expenditures, $1.00B in share buybacks, and $629.0M in dividends paid.

AON balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Aon trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.1x and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 14.2x and 12.2x, respectively. The stock's enterprise value to EBITDA sits at 11.0x, below the peer group median of 15.7x. With a market capitalization of $62.06B, Aon trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 3.5x and a price-to-book ratio of 6.2x. Over the past year, Aon generated a return of -13.9%, lagging the S&P 500 SPY return of 16.8%.

AON key metrics →

AON dividend

Aon pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $3.28 per share, yielding 1.12% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend payout ratio is 17.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years. Over the last 5 years, dividend growth annualized at 10.3%. Its last ex-dividend date is November 2, 2026.

AON dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 9 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 5 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $354.21, representing an upside of 21.1% over the last close of $292.55. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $17.92B and earnings per share of $18.57. Aon beat earnings estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 28, 2026.

AON forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Aon holds $14.61B in net debt with only $1.27B in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 2.2% in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, well below the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 10.3%.
  • The stock is trading 10.5% below its 200-day moving average and has fallen 16.5% year-to-date as of October 16, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AON AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aon plc (AON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AON income statement, AON balance sheet, AON key metrics, AON analyst forecast, AON chart. See the AON stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AON AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Aon's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Aon pays a quarterly dividend of $3.28 per share on an annualized forward basis, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 1.12%. Its payout ratio is 17.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years.

How does Aon's valuation compare to its financial services peers?

Aon trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.5x, slightly above the S&P 500 Financial Services peer median of 12.2x. However, its EV to EBITDA multiple of 11.0x is below the peer median of 15.7x.

What are analysts forecasting for Aon's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $17.92B and EPS of $18.57. For the following fiscal year, 20 analysts project revenue of $21.66B and EPS of $20.21.

When does Aon report its next quarterly earnings?

Aon's next earnings date is scheduled for October 28, 2026. The company has beaten earnings estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.

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