Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AMTXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AMTX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX) produces renewable fuels, including ethanol, dairy renewable natural gas, and biodiesel, across North America and India. In FY2025, the company posted revenue of $208.0M and net income of -$77.0M. Its balance sheet shows total debt of $419.9M against cash and short-term investments of $973,000 as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$105.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$230.2M
P/E
—
fwd 58.8x
1Y return
-49.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$13.38
816.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue increased by 20.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year revenue to grow 44.1% to $374.2M.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.5x, well below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 1.8x.

Bear case

  • The company holds $419.9M in total debt against only $973,000 in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Shareholders' equity stands at -$322.1M alongside a low current ratio of 0.08.
  • Aemetis reported free cash flow of -$22.7M and net income of -$77.0M in FY2025.

What Aemetis does

Aemetis, Inc. is a renewable energy company operating in North America and India across three primary segments: California Ethanol, Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. The company develops and commercializes technologies designed to lower carbon intensity and replace conventional petroleum fuels. Its portfolio includes biodiesel sold to government oil marketing companies, transport firms, resellers, and refiners, as well as ethanol and by-products like wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles for animal feed. Aemetis also produces dairy biogas, high-grade alcohol, hand sanitizers, and conducts research converting waste feedstocks into biofuels.

Growth and profitability

Aemetis recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue moved from $211.9M in FY2021 to $256.5M in FY2022, dropped to $186.7M in FY2023, rebounded to $267.6M in FY2024, and declined 22.3% to $208.0M in FY2025. Operating margins remained negative across that period, reaching -17.9% in FY2025 alongside net income of -$77.0M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $230.2M with a profit margin of -26.1% and an operating margin of 9.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 20.0% year-over-year.

AMTX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Aemetis held $973,000 in cash and short-term investments against $419.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $418.9M. Total assets were $289.2M, and shareholders' equity was -$322.1M, reflecting negative equity. The company reported a current ratio of 0.08. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $3.3M, free cash flow was -$22.7M, and capital expenditures totaled $26.0M. Over 5 years, the company's share count increased by 113.2%.

AMTX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Aemetis has an enterprise value of $552.0M and a market capitalization of $105.4M. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 58.8x, compared to 13.4x for the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.5x, below the peer group median of 1.8x, and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 2.4x. Over the past year, AMTX shares dropped 49.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, AMTX fell 91.9%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

AMTX key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst ratings for AMTX consist of 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $13.38, compared to the last close of $1.46. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $259.7M and an EPS of -$0.85. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

AMTX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.08 and cash of $973,000 present liquidity pressure relative to $419.9M in total debt.
  • Shareholders have experienced dilution as the share count increased by 113.2% over 5 years.
  • The stock displays high volatility with a beta of 1.82 following a 49.3% decline over the trailing 1-year period.
  • Trailing twelve months profit margin remains negative at -26.1% alongside an EPS of -$0.86.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AMTX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AMTX income statement, AMTX balance sheet, AMTX key metrics, AMTX analyst forecast, AMTX chart. See the AMTX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AMTX AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Aemetis pay a dividend?

No, Aemetis does not pay a dividend.

What is Aemetis's net debt?

As of June 30, 2026, Aemetis had net debt of $418.9M, consisting of $419.9M in total debt minus $973,000 in cash and short-term investments.

What are analysts forecasting for Aemetis in FY2026?

Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $259.7M and an EPS of -$0.85 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

How has AMTX performed compared to the S&P 500?

Over the past year, AMTX dropped 49.3% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, AMTX fell 91.9% compared to an 83.0% increase for the S&P 500.

When does Aemetis report earnings next?

Aemetis has its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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