Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) AI Stock Analysis
AMPY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAmplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company operating in diverse regions across the United States. While revenue has contracted over recent years to $213.1M on a trailing twelve-month basis, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with $18.1M in net cash as of June 30, 2026. The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA ratio of 2.3x following a 1-year return of -3.9%.
- Market cap
- $183.7M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $213.1M
- P/E
- 8.7x fwd 28.3x
- 1Y return
- -3.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $7.75 74.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Amplify Energy carries a clean balance sheet with $18.1M in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at an EV to EBITDA multiple of 2.3x, well below the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 8.0x.
- Wall Street analysts hold an average price target of $7.75, implying 74.9% potential upside from the closing price of $4.43.
Bear case
- Free cash flow was negative in both FY2024 at -$20.9M and FY2025 at -$36.1M due to elevated capital expenditures of $85.3M in FY2025.
- Revenue has contracted consecutively from $458.5M in FY2022 to $263.4M in FY2025, falling another 22.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Current fiscal year EPS is estimated at -$0.47, reflecting an expected earnings contraction of 147.4%.
What Amplify Energy does
Amplify Energy Corp., based in Houston, Texas, is actively involved in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas assets across diverse regions in the United States. Established with a strategic focus on enhancing its portfolio, the company holds both operated and non-operated working interests across a range of properties. These assets include producing wells and undeveloped leasehold acreage situated in key regions such as Oklahoma, the Rockies, federal offshore waters in Southern California, East Texas/North Louisiana, and the Eagle Ford shale. The company strives to optimize production rates and reservoir performance through efficient exploitation and development efforts.
Growth and profitability
Amplify Energy experienced a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.4% from FY2020 to FY2025, but top-line performance has contracted since FY2022. Revenue reached $458.5M in FY2022 before dropping to $307.6M in FY2023, $294.7M in FY2024, and $263.4M in FY2025, reflecting a 10.6% decline in FY2025. Gross margin decreased to 27.2% in FY2025, alongside an operating margin of -1.9% and net income of $44.0M with diluted EPS of -$0.34. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $213.1M with an operating margin of 41.6% and a profit margin of 10.6%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 22.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 167.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Amplify Energy held $21.2M in cash and short-term investments against $3.1M in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $18.1M. Shareholders' equity was $439.1M, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 and a current ratio of 1.31. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $49.2M, while capital expenditures reached $85.3M, leading to free cash flow of -$36.1M. The company also allocated $2.5M to share buybacks during FY2025, while its share count increased 8.6% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $4.43, Amplify Energy has a market cap of $183.7M and an enterprise value of $157.2M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.7x and an EV to EBITDA of 2.3x, compared to the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x trailing P/E and 8.0x EV to EBITDA. Its forward P/E stands at 28.3x versus the peer median of 12.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 0.9x compared to 1.8x for peers. Over the past year, AMPY returned -3.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $7.75, representing an upside of 74.9% from the last close of $4.43. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$0.47 and revenue of $169.4M. For next fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates EPS of $0.43 on revenue of $179.2M. Amplify Energy has beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual revenue has dropped from $458.5M in FY2022 to $263.4M in FY2025, showing sustained top-line pressure.
- Capital expenditures of $85.3M led to free cash flow of -$36.1M in FY2025, which could challenge liquidity if cash generation does not recover.
- The company has beaten analyst EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters, highlighting recent volatility in operational results.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AMPY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AMPY income statement, AMPY balance sheet, AMPY key metrics, AMPY analyst forecast, AMPY chart. See the AMPY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AMPY AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Amplify Energy Corp. pay a dividend?
No, Amplify Energy Corp. does not currently pay a dividend.
What is Amplify Energy's debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Amplify Energy held $21.2M in cash and short-term investments and $3.1M in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $18.1M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
When does Amplify Energy report earnings next?
Amplify Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026.
What is the consensus price target for AMPY?
The mean analyst price target is $7.75, which is 74.9% above the last closing price of $4.43.