Alico, Inc. (ALCO) AI Stock Analysis
ALCO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAlico, Inc. (ALCO) is an agribusiness and land management company with a market cap of $275.4M. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated revenue of $17.1M with an operating margin of 19.8% and EPS of $0.21. In FY2025, revenue contracted 5.5% to $44.1M while net income stood at -$147.3M, though it held net cash of $52.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $275.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $17.1M
- P/E
- 176.8x fwd 57.5x
- 1Y return
- 7.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $45.00 21.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Alico maintains a strong balance sheet with $55.6M in cash and short-term investments against just $2.8M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 335.2% year-over-year alongside 7.7% quarterly revenue growth.
- Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $45.00, implying 21.2% upside from the recent close.
Bear case
- Alico experienced a 5-year revenue CAGR of -13.8% between FY2020 and FY2025, with revenue dropping to $44.1M in FY2025.
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 176.8x, representing a significant premium to the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x.
- Consensus estimates from 1 analyst call for next fiscal year revenue to drop 69.0% to $5.4M with EPS of -$2.27.
What Alico does
Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management firm in the United States. The company is organized into two primary segments: Alico Citrus and Land Management and Other Operations. Alico Citrus cultivates citrus trees to supply both processed and fresh citrus markets. The Land Management and Other Operations segment oversees extensive land holdings across Collier, Glades, and Hendry Counties, generating revenue through leasing land for recreational and grazing purposes, conservation efforts, and mining operations. Overall, Alico manages approximately 74,000 acres of land spread across eight Florida counties.
Growth and profitability
Alico's revenue declined at a 5-year CAGR of -13.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue decreased from $108.6M in FY2021 to $91.9M in FY2022 and $39.8M in FY2023. Revenue increased 17.1% to $46.6M in FY2024 before falling 5.5% to $44.1M in FY2025. Profitability was pressured in FY2025, with gross margin at -436.2%, operating margin at -462.7%, and net income of -$147.3M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $17.1M with a profit margin of 9.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 7.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 335.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Alico held $55.6M in cash and short-term investments and $2.8M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $52.8M. Total assets stood at $198.7M and shareholders' equity was $104.8M. The company maintains a current ratio of 7.96 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $20.1M, while capital expenditures were $5.5M, leaving free cash flow of $14.6M. Cash use also included $1.5M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Trading at $37.12 on October 16, 2026, Alico has a trailing P/E of 176.8x and a forward P/E of 57.5x, well above the median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers of 18.6x and 14.3x. Its price-to-sales of 16.1x and EV/EBITDA of 14.6x also trade above peer medians of 0.7x and 11.7x. Over the past year, ALCO shares returned 7.3%, trailing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned 17.3%, below the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
ALCO dividend
Alico pays a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share on an annualized forward basis, offering a dividend yield of 0.54% and a payout ratio of 95.2%. The company has paid dividends for 22 consecutive years, although its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -19.7%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings on Alico. The mean price target is $45.00, representing a 21.2% premium over the last close of $37.12. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $17.4M and EPS of -$0.11. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $5.4M and EPS of -$2.27. Alico beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for November 23, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- In FY2025, the company posted a net income loss of -$147.3M and an operating margin of -462.7%.
- Alico's return on assets over the trailing twelve months stands at -4.5%, pointing to asset efficiency challenges.
- The dividend payout ratio is elevated at 95.2%, following a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -19.7%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ALCO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Alico, Inc. (ALCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ALCO income statement, ALCO balance sheet, ALCO key metrics, ALCO analyst forecast, ALCO chart. See the ALCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ALCO AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Alico, Inc. do?
Alico, Inc. is an agribusiness and land management company that cultivates citrus for fresh and processed markets and manages approximately 74,000 acres in Florida for leasing, grazing, conservation, and mining.
Does Alico pay a dividend?
Yes, Alico pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.20 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 0.54%.
How does Alico's valuation compare to sector peers?
Alico trades at a trailing P/E of 176.8x and EV/EBITDA of 14.6x, compared to medians of 18.6x and 11.7x for its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers.
When is Alico's next earnings report?
Alico's next earnings date is scheduled for November 23, 2026.