Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ADMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ADM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is a global agricultural processor and supply chain manager across Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. While annual revenue contracted 6.2% to $80.27B in FY2025, operating cash flow rebounded to $5.45B. The company maintains a net cash position of $267.0M alongside 44 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Market cap
$39.81B
Revenue (TTM)
$82.10B
P/E
22.6x
fwd 15.6x
1Y return
35.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$80.20
-2.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings rebounded sharply in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, surging 315.6% year-over-year alongside 7.2% revenue growth.
  • ADM generated $4.20B in free cash flow in FY2025 and ended June 30, 2026, in a net cash position of $267.0M.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.3x, sitting below the median of 14.8x for its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell for three consecutive fiscal years, declining from $101.56B in FY2022 to $80.27B in FY2025.
  • Net margin shrank from 4.3% in FY2022 to 1.3% in FY2025, reducing annual net income to $1.08B.
  • The analyst consensus mean price target of $80.20 sits 2.9% below the last closing price of $82.61, backed by 8 Hold and 2 Sell ratings.

What ADM does

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company procures, transports, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities, products, and ingredients worldwide. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, ADM operates across three primary divisions: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. The business sources and handles oilseeds, corn, wheat, and barley, providing cleaning, storage, and transportation services as well as trade finance and commodity brokerage. It produces vegetable oils, protein meals, starches, sweeteners, syrups, biodiesel, glycols, alcohol, and cotton cellulose pulp. ADM also manufactures natural flavors, specialty nutrition ingredients such as probiotics and enzymes, animal feed ingredients, and contract pet food.

Growth and profitability

ADM generated a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 4.5% between FY2020 and FY2025. After peaking at $101.56B in FY2022, revenue declined to $93.94B in FY2023, $85.53B in FY2024, and fell 6.2% to $80.27B in FY2025. Over the same span, net income decreased from $4.34B in FY2022 to $1.08B in FY2025, bringing net margin to 1.3%. Operating cash flow remained positive, rising to $5.45B in FY2025 with free cash flow of $4.20B. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 315.6%. Trailing twelve month revenue stood at $82.10B with an operating margin of 4.0%.

ADM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ADM held $9.61B in cash and short-term investments against $9.34B in total debt, yielding net cash of $267.0M. Shareholders' equity totaled $23.58B out of $53.53B in total assets. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.39 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40. In FY2025, capital expenditures consumed $1.25B and dividends accounted for $987.0M. Over the trailing five years, share count was reduced by 14.3%.

ADM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

ADM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6x and a forward multiple of 15.6x, compared to medians of 23.5x and 15.2x for its S&P 500 Consumer Defensive peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 12.3x versus the peer group median of 14.8x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 0.5x compared to 1.8x for peers. Over the past year, ADM returned 35.2%, outpacing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 48.8% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

ADM key metrics →

ADM dividend

ADM offers an annualized forward dividend of $2.08 per share, representing a 2.52% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 47.7%. The company has paid quarterly dividends for 44 consecutive years. ADM delivered a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.2%, with its most recent ex-dividend date on August 19, 2026.

ADM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage on ADM includes 1 Strong Buy, 8 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $80.20 represents 2.9% downside relative to the last close of $82.61. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.51 on revenue of $86.83B, representing 60.7% earnings growth. ADM has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings report scheduled for November 3, 2026.

ADM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin contracted from 4.3% in FY2023 to 1.8% in FY2025, leaving thin profitability against commodity price shifts.
  • Total debt of $9.34B requires steady operating cash flow generation to maintain current liquidity levels.
  • Five-year stock returns of 48.8% have lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%, reflecting prolonged periods of operational deceleration.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ADM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ADM income statement, ADM balance sheet, ADM key metrics, ADM analyst forecast, ADM chart. See the ADM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ADM AI stock analysis FAQ

Does ADM pay a dividend?

Yes, ADM pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.08 per share, which equates to a 2.52% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 44 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 47.7%.

What is ADM's debt and liquidity position?

As of June 30, 2026, ADM held $9.61B in cash and short-term investments against $9.34B in total debt, giving it net cash of $267.0M. It also had a current ratio of 1.39 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40.

How did ADM perform in its latest reported quarter?

For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, ADM grew revenue by 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded by 315.6%.

When is ADM's next earnings report date?

ADM is scheduled to report its next quarterly earnings on November 3, 2026. For the full fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $5.51.

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