Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) AI Stock Analysis
AAUC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAllied Gold Corporation is a gold mining company exploring gold and silver deposits across Africa, led by its flagship Sadiola project in Mali. In FY2025, revenue increased 82.3% to $1.33B, generating $81.9M in free cash flow despite net income of -$51.8M. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92B, with $192.2M in cash and $195.4M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $2.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.49B
- P/E
- — fwd 3.7x
- 1Y return
- 8.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- —
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 82.3% in FY2025 to reach $1.33B, supported by a 3-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 25.8%.
- Operating cash flow reached $514.0M in FY2025, delivering $81.9M in free cash flow after absorbing $432.1M of capital expenditures.
- Allied Gold trades at a forward P/E multiple of 3.7x, below the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.
Bear case
- The business remained unprofitable in FY2025 with net income of -$51.8M and a trailing twelve-month profit margin of -4.2%.
- Short-term liquidity is constrained, indicated by a current ratio of 0.60 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock has lagged broader benchmarks over the past year, gaining 8.4% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
What Allied Gold does
Allied Gold Corporation, based in Toronto, Canada, operates as a gold mining company in Africa with 2,095 employees. Together with its subsidiaries, the company primarily explores gold and silver deposits. Its flagship asset is the Sadiola gold project, which comprises 2 mining licenses situated in the Republic of Mali. Formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation, the business changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023 before listing on the NYSE in 2025.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2022 and FY2025, Allied Gold expanded revenue from $669.6M to $1.33B, achieving a 3-year compound annual growth rate of 25.8%. Revenue fell 2.1% in FY2023 to $655.7M before rising 11.4% to $730.4M in FY2024 and accelerating 82.3% in FY2025. Gross margin widened from 19.3% in FY2022 to 38.0% in FY2025, while operating margin climbed from 12.4% to 27.4%. Net income remained negative across the four years, improving from -$208.5M in FY2023 to -$51.8M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.49B, with quarterly revenue growing 45.4% year-over-year and operating margin reaching 40.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Allied Gold held $192.2M in cash and short-term investments against $195.4M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $3.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39. Total assets stood at $2.20B alongside shareholders' equity of $503.0M, while the current ratio was 0.60. During FY2025, the company generated $514.0M in operating cash flow and funded $432.1M in capital expenditures, producing positive free cash flow of $81.9M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $20.92 on October 16, 2026, Allied Gold carried a market capitalization of $2.92B and an enterprise value of $3.13B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.7x and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.0x, compared to medians of 13.4x and 1.8x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 26.3x stands above the peer group median of 10.5x. Over the trailing 12 months, AAUC gained 8.4%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Consensus estimates project revenue of $1.72B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, analysts forecast revenue of $2.73B, which represents an estimated growth rate of 59.0%. Over the past four quarters, Allied Gold has exceeded consensus earnings estimates in 1 quarter. The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.60 highlights that short-term obligations exceed current assets as of June 30, 2026.
- Capital intensity remains elevated, with FY2025 capital expenditures of $432.1M consuming the bulk of the $514.0M in operating cash flow.
- Earnings predictability has been low, as the company has beaten analyst earnings targets in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AAUC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AAUC income statement, AAUC balance sheet, AAUC key metrics, AAUC analyst forecast, AAUC chart. See the AAUC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AAUC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Allied Gold Corporation's primary mining project?
Allied Gold's flagship asset is the Sadiola gold project, which consists of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali.
Does Allied Gold Corporation pay a dividend?
Allied Gold Corporation does not currently report a dividend payout.
What do analysts expect for Allied Gold's future revenue?
Analysts estimate revenue of $1.72B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and project revenue to reach $2.73B in the next fiscal year, representing expected growth of 59.0%.
How do Allied Gold's valuation multiples compare to sector peers?
Allied Gold trades at a forward P/E of 3.7x, below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 13.4x, while its EV/EBITDA of 26.3x is higher than the peer median of 10.5x.