Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Stock Forecast
ARI analyst forecast
as of October 17, 2026- Analyst consensus
- Buy 4.00 / 5 from 4 analysts
- Price target
- $8.00 average of analyst targets
- Upside to target
- +25.4% from the latest close
- Next earnings
- October 29, 2026 EPS estimate $-0.21
- 52-week range
- $6.20 – $11.22
ARI analyst ratings
4 analystsNumber of analysts at each rating.
ARI price target
The average of analyst 12-month price targets compared with the latest close and the 52-week range.
ARI earnings per share estimates
| Period | Average | Low | High | Year ago | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.23 | −76.9% | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | −$2.76 | −$3.17 | −$2.35 | $1.05 | −362.9% | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $0.23 | $0.17 | $0.34 | −$2.76 | +108.2% | 3 |
Consensus EPS estimates; growth compares the average estimate with the year-ago EPS.
ARI revenue estimates
| Period | Average | Low | High | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $0 | $0 | $0 | −100.0% | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | $42.0M | $42.0M | $42.0M | −74.8% | 1 |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $0 | $0 | $0 | −100.0% | 1 |
ARI EPS: reported and forecast
Fiscal years; "E" marks estimates, the line shows the range from the lowest to the highest estimate.
ARI revenue: reported and forecast
ARI EPS estimate revisions
| Period | 90 days ago | 60 days ago | 30 days ago | 7 days ago | Now | Change (90 d) | Revisions (30 d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (Sep '26) | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.05 | −11.2% | 0 up · 1 down |
| Current fiscal year (2026) | −$0.45 | −$0.74 | −$0.74 | −$0.74 | −$2.76 | +515.5% | 0 up · 0 down |
| Next fiscal year (2027) | $0.59 | $0.56 | $0.23 | $0.23 | $0.23 | −61.8% | 0 up · 0 down |
How the consensus EPS estimate changed over the last 90 days, and how many analysts raised or lowered it in the last 30 days.
ARI earnings surprises
Reported EPS vs the consensus estimate for the last 12 quarters; ARI beat in 9 of 12.
What analysts expect from ARI
4 analysts cover Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance; their consensus rating is buy (4.00 on a 1–5 scale, where 5 is a strong buy). The average price target is $8.00, 25.4% above the latest close of $6.38. Analysts expect earnings of −$2.76 per share for 2026, −362.9% from a year earlier. For 2027 the average estimate is $0.23 per share. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance beat the EPS estimate in 9 of the last 12 quarters.
Related: ARI income statement, ARI key metrics, ARI chart. See the ARI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ARI forecast FAQ
What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's price target?
The average analyst price target for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is $8.00, 25.4% above the latest close of $6.38.
Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance a buy, hold or sell?
Of 4 analysts covering Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, 1 rate it a strong buy, 2 a buy, 1 a hold, 0 a sell and 0 a strong sell, a consensus of buy. Ratings are opinions, not a recommendation from Quotelinks.
What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's EPS forecast?
Analysts forecast −$2.76 per share for 2026 (range −$3.17 to −$2.35); for 2027 the estimate is $0.23.
What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's revenue forecast?
The average revenue estimate for 2026 is $42.0 million, growth of −74.8%.
When does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance report earnings?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is expected to report results for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 on October 29, 2026 after the market closes; the EPS estimate is $-0.21.
Does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance usually beat earnings estimates?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance reported EPS at or above the analyst estimate in 9 of the last 12 quarters.