Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) AI Stock Analysis
WY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchWeyerhaeuser Company is a specialty real estate investment trust and one of the world's largest private landowners, managing extensive timberlands and producing wood products. In FY2025, revenue was $6.91B with a net margin of 4.7%, down from peak revenue of $10.20B in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $6.85B with EPS of $0.65 while offering a forward dividend yield of 4.28%.
- Market cap
- $14.13B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.85B
- P/E
- 30.2x fwd 29.1x
- 1Y return
- -14.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $27.36 39.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Analyst estimates forecast significant near-term earnings acceleration, projecting EPS growth of 40.8% in FY2026 and 109.5% to $0.59 in FY2027.
- The company provides shareholder income via a 4.28% forward dividend yield supported by 47 consecutive years of payments.
- The mean analyst price target of $27.36 suggests a 39.5% upside from the recent price of $19.61.
Bear case
- Revenue has steadily declined each year from $10.20B in FY2021 to $6.91B in FY2025, accompanied by a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.7%.
- Operating margin deteriorated significantly over recent years, dropping from 35.7% in FY2021 to 6.7% in FY2025.
- Free cash flow dropped sharply from $2.57B in FY2021 to $88.0M in FY2025, falling below the $606.0M paid out in dividends in FY2025.
What Weyerhaeuser does
Weyerhaeuser Company, established in 1900, is a real estate investment trust and one of the largest private landowners globally. It owns or controls roughly 11 million acres of timberlands in the United States and manages additional timberlands under long-term licenses in Canada adhering to sustainable forestry standards. In addition to timberland management, the company operates as a prominent manufacturer of wood products across North America, supplying a diverse range of products to consumer and industrial markets. In 2020, Weyerhaeuser achieved $7.5 billion in net sales and employed approximately 9,400 professionals, maintaining membership in the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index.
Growth and profitability
Revenue contracted from $10.20B in FY2021 to $6.91B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.7%. Gross margin dropped from 40.2% in FY2021 to 7.5% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from 35.7% to 6.7%. Net income declined from $2.61B in FY2021 to $324.0M in FY2025, resulting in EPS shrinking from $3.37 to $0.20. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $6.85B with an operating margin of 8.0% and EPS of $0.65. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 0.9% year-over-year, though quarterly earnings grew 87.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Weyerhaeuser held $527.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.42B in total debt, bringing net debt to $4.90B. Shareholders' equity was $9.46B, giving a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 and a current ratio of 1.82. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $562.0M and free cash flow was $88.0M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $474.0M in capital expenditures, $606.0M in dividends paid, and $160.0M dedicated to share buybacks, which helped reduce the 5-year share count by 3.9%.
Valuation and performance
WY closed at $19.61 on October 16, 2026, yielding a market capitalization of $14.13B and an enterprise value of $20.45B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.2x and a forward P/E of 29.1x, slightly below the median of its S&P 500 Real Estate peers (30.6x trailing and 30.4x forward). Its EV/EBITDA stands at 17.6x, compared to 17.2x for the peer group, while its price-to-sales of 2.1x is below the peer median of 7.1x. Over the past year, WY fell 14.1% against a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500, and over five years it fell 35.7% while the index gained 83.0%.
WY dividend
Weyerhaeuser offers an annual forward dividend of $0.84 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.28% and a payout ratio of 4.0%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 47 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized reached 10.5%, with the last ex-dividend date recorded on September 4, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment reflects 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $27.36, representing 39.5% upside over the last close of $19.61. For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $7.20B and EPS of $0.28, implying 40.8% EPS growth. For FY2027, 11 analysts project revenue to expand 6.5% to $7.66B with EPS growing 109.5% to $0.59. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company maintains $5.42B in total debt and $4.90B in net debt with $527.0M in cash and short-term investments.
- Shareholder equity of $9.46B yields a low return on equity of 5.0% and return on assets of 0.7% over the trailing twelve months.
- The stock has lagged broader benchmarks, showing a 1-year return of -14.1% and a 5-year return of -35.7% compared to 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500.
- The trailing operating margin of 8.0% trails the S&P 500 Real Estate peer median of 28.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this WY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Weyerhaeuser Company (WY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: WY income statement, WY balance sheet, WY key metrics, WY analyst forecast, WY chart. See the WY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
WY AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Weyerhaeuser pay?
Weyerhaeuser pays an annual forward dividend of $0.84 per share on a quarterly schedule, which equals a dividend yield of 4.28%. The company has paid dividends for 47 consecutive years.
What are analysts' price targets for WY stock?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $27.36, which is 39.5% above the closing price of $19.61 on October 16, 2026. The analyst consensus consists of 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings.
How much debt does Weyerhaeuser have?
As of June 30, 2026, Weyerhaeuser had $5.42B in total debt and $527.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $4.90B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57.
When does Weyerhaeuser report earnings next?
Weyerhaeuser is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. In the prior four quarters, it beat consensus EPS estimates 3 times.