Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VNDAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VNDA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on central nervous system disorders and other unmet medical needs. Although FY2025 revenue rose 8.7% to $216.1M, net losses widened substantially to -$220.5M amid rising research and development expenses. The company maintains a net cash position of $147.2M as of June 30, 2026, but shares are down 54.3% year-to-date.

Market cap
$243.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$215.7M
P/E
—
fwd 103.1x
1Y return
-23.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$11.75
191.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Vanda retains a solid liquidity buffer with $147.2M in net cash and total debt of only $22.8M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus projects revenue growth of 35.5% to $337.2M for the fiscal year following FY2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV/revenue multiple of 0.7x and a price-to-sales of 1.1x, below the US-listed Healthcare peer median price-to-sales of 4.1x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow burn accelerated to -$110.4M in FY2025, driven by an operating margin of -70.0% and net losses of -$220.5M.
  • Quarterly revenue fell 3.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings dropped 95.9%.
  • Long-term share performance has lagged the broader market, with shares down 78.1% over five years compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

What Vanda Pharmaceuticals does

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes therapies for significant unmet medical needs. Its commercial portfolio features HETLIOZ, approved for non-24-hour sleep-wake disorders, and Fanapt oral tablets, prescribed for the treatment of schizophrenia. In clinical development, Vanda is exploring label expansions for HETLIOZ across indications such as jet lag disorder and Smith-Magenis syndrome, alongside a long-acting injectable Fanapt formulation and bipolar disorder trials. Investigational pipeline assets include Tradipitant for gastroparesis and motion sickness, VTR-297 for hematologic malignancies and oncology, and VQW-765 for psychiatric disorders. Founded in 2002 and based in Washington, D.C., Vanda commercializes products in the United States, Europe, and Israel.

Growth and profitability

Vanda generated $216.1M in revenue for FY2025, up 8.7% from $198.8M in FY2024, though its 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 through FY2025 stands at -2.7%. Gross margin remained strong at 94.0% in FY2025, but operating margin dropped to -70.0% due in part to $109.3M in R&D spending. As a result, FY2025 net income reached -$220.5M, or -$3.73 per share. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $215.7M with an operating margin of -126.3% and EPS of -$4.63. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.9% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 95.9%.

VNDA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Vanda held $170.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $22.8M, resulting in a net cash position of $147.2M. The company reported a current ratio of 1.61 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10 against shareholders' equity of $220.2M. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was -$109.4M, resulting in free cash flow of -$110.4M after capital expenditures of $998,000. Over the past 5 years, share count increased by 5.2%.

VNDA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Vanda carries a market capitalization of $243.7M and an enterprise value of $157.2M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x and an EV/revenue of 0.7x, compared to a price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its forward P/E sits at 103.1x versus the peer median of 17.3x, and its EV/EBITDA is 0.8x compared to the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, Vanda's stock fell 23.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and is down 78.1% over five years.

VNDA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating among analysts. The mean price target is $11.75, representing an upside of 191.6% over the last close of $4.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$3.03 on revenue of $248.9M. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts expect revenue to rise 35.5% to $337.2M with an EPS of -$0.96. Vanda has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

VNDA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A 13.6% short interest as a percentage of float indicates elevated market skepticism regarding clinical or commercial execution.
  • The company has beaten EPS expectations in only 1 of the trailing 4 quarters.
  • Sustained cash outflows, such as the -$109.4M in operating cash flow in FY2025, could erode the $170.0M cash and short-term investments balance if profitability is not achieved.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VNDA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VNDA income statement, VNDA balance sheet, VNDA key metrics, VNDA analyst forecast, VNDA chart. See the VNDA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VNDA AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Vanda Pharmaceuticals sell?

Vanda markets HETLIOZ for non-24-hour sleep-wake disorders and Fanapt oral tablets for the treatment of schizophrenia.

How much cash does Vanda have?

As of June 30, 2026, Vanda held $170.0M in cash and short-term investments, with a net cash position of $147.2M after subtracting $22.8M in total debt.

What is the consensus analyst price target for VNDA?

The mean analyst price target is $11.75, which stands 191.6% above the last close price of $4.03.

Does Vanda Pharmaceuticals pay a dividend?

No, Vanda Pharmaceuticals does not pay a dividend.

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