Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) AI Stock Analysis
VNCE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchVince Holding Corp. (VNCE) is a luxury apparel company operating through wholesale, direct-to-consumer, and specialty brand channels. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $314.7M in revenue with an operating margin of 16.6%. The stock has experienced strong market momentum, gaining 320.3% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $166.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $314.7M
- P/E
- 22.2x fwd 11.0x
- 1Y return
- 320.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.00 16.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 11.7% year-over-year in the period ended August 31, 2026, demonstrating accelerating top-line momentum.
- Analysts project current fiscal year EPS to reach $1.36, representing estimated EPS growth of 209.1%.
- Gross margin reached 49.7% in FY2026, up from 36.3% in FY2023.
Bear case
- The company holds $114.5M in total debt against only $1.0M in cash and short-term investments as of August 31, 2026.
- Free cash flow was negative at -$1.3M in FY2026 after generating $17.8M in FY2025.
- Consensus estimates project next fiscal year EPS will decline 32.4% to $0.92.
What Vince does
Vince Holding Corp., headquartered in New York, designs, markets, and retails luxury apparel and accessories both domestically and globally. The company operates through three segments: Vince Wholesale, Vince Direct-to-Consumer, and Rebecca Taylor and Parker. Its product line features women's items such as cashmere sweaters, silk blouses, leather jackets, dresses, denim, and footwear, alongside men's t-shirts, sweaters, trousers, and outerwear. Vince reaches customers through branded specialty stores, outlet locations, and the vince.com website, as well as a direct-to-consumer subscription program called Vince Unfold. As of January 2022, the company managed a network of 86 stores across full-price and outlet formats.
Growth and profitability
Vince Holding Corp. grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 6.4% from FY2021 to FY2026. In FY2024, revenue dropped 18.1% to $292.9M, but net income reached $25.4M. In FY2025, revenue was $293.5M with a net loss of $19.0M. For FY2026, revenue increased 2.2% to $300.0M, gross margin expanded to 49.7%, and net income rebounded to $6.4M. In the trailing twelve months ended August 31, 2026, revenue reached $314.7M with a profit margin of 2.4%. For the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 14.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, Vince Holding Corp. held $1.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $114.5M, resulting in net debt of $113.5M. Total assets stood at $228.9M against shareholders' equity of $58.8M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.95 and a current ratio of 1.49. For FY2026, the company generated $3.0M in operating cash flow and recorded free cash flow of -$1.3M after capital expenditures of $4.3M. Over five years, the share count increased 9.7%.
Valuation and performance
At $12.86 per share, Vince Holding Corp. has a market capitalization of $166.5M and an enterprise value of $257.4M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 22.2x, above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 11.0x and price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x are lower than the peer medians of 14.1x and 0.7x, respectively. The company's EV/EBITDA stands at 15.5x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. VNCE has returned 320.3% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings, with zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $15.00 implies an upside of 16.6% compared to the last close of $12.86. For the current fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.36 on revenue of $338.2M. For the next fiscal year, projected EPS is $0.92 on revenue of $397.9M. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 8, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High leverage is reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.95 and net debt of $113.5M.
- Stock volatility is elevated, with a beta of 1.45 and a 52-week trading range from $1.95 to $13.78.
- Earnings volatility remains high, with quarterly earnings falling 14.0% in the latest quarter despite revenue growth.
- High insider concentration exists, with insiders owning 57.7% of the company's shares.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this VNCE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: VNCE income statement, VNCE balance sheet, VNCE key metrics, VNCE analyst forecast, VNCE chart. See the VNCE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
VNCE AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Vince Holding Corp. pay a dividend?
No, Vince Holding Corp. does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the consensus analyst target for VNCE stock?
The mean analyst price target is $15.00, which is 16.6% above the last closing price of $12.86.
How much debt does Vince Holding Corp. have?
As of August 31, 2026, the company had $114.5M in total debt and $1.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $113.5M.
When is the next earnings report for VNCE?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for December 8, 2026.