Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) AI Stock Analysis
GOOS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCanada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) designs and manufactures luxury performance outerwear and accessories globally. In FY2026, revenue reached $1.53B with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.1%, though net margin narrowed to 1.5%. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated an operating margin of -87.3% and trades at an EV/EBITDA of 6.1x.
- Market cap
- $789.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.54B
- P/E
- 19.7x fwd 14.5x
- 1Y return
- -38.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $9.49 17.5% vs last close
Bull case
- FY2026 revenue increased 13.6% to $1.53B, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.1%.
- The company generated free cash flow of $141.8M in FY2026 while reducing its 5-year share count by 9.8%.
- Its EV/EBITDA of 6.1x trades well below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 11.1x.
Bear case
- Net income fell from $94.8M in FY2025 to $22.6M in FY2026 as operating margin dropped to 5.8%.
- Canada Goose failed to exceed earnings expectations, delivering 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
- The company carries net debt of $626.8M with total debt of $833.8M against cash of $207.0M.
What Canada Goose does
Headquartered in Toronto, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. specializes in performance luxury apparel, designing and distributing premium outerwear and accessories. The company operates through Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other segments. Signature products include parkas, lightweight down jackets, rainwear, windwear, knitwear, footwear, and accessories suited for fall, winter, and spring seasons. As of April 3, 2022, Canada Goose operated 56 national e-commerce platforms and 41 directly operated retail stores across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, complemented by wholesale partners and distributor relationships worldwide.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $1.10B in FY2022 to $1.53B in FY2026, marking a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.1%. Annual revenue growth was 13.6% in FY2026, up from 1.1% in FY2025. However, profitability contracted over the period. Gross margin declined from 69.9% in FY2025 to 61.1% in FY2026, while operating margin fell from 12.2% to 5.8%. Net income dropped from $94.8M in FY2025 to $22.6M in FY2026, with EPS sliding from $0.77 to $0.56. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth was 3.0%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.54B with a profit margin of 3.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Canada Goose held $207.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $833.8M, resulting in net debt of $626.8M. Total assets stood at $1.69B and shareholders' equity was $526.1M. The company maintains a current ratio of 2.33 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $192.4M and free cash flow was $141.8M after capital expenditures of $50.6M. Its share count decreased 9.8% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $8.08, Canada Goose has a market capitalization of $789.1M and an enterprise value of $1.18B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.7x and a forward P/E of 14.5x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 6.1x, below the peer group median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales of 0.5x sits below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 38.0%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts display mixed coverage with 3 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 2 Sell, and 3 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $9.49 suggests upside of 17.5% from the last close of $8.08. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.58B and EPS of $0.74. The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Trailing twelve month operating margin stood at -87.3%, highlighting profitability pressure.
- A beta of 1.72 and short interest at 13.4% of float indicate elevated price volatility.
- Total debt of $833.8M exceeds shareholders' equity of $526.1M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GOOS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GOOS income statement, GOOS balance sheet, GOOS key metrics, GOOS analyst forecast, GOOS chart. See the GOOS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GOOS AI stock analysis FAQ
When does Canada Goose report earnings next?
Canada Goose is scheduled to report earnings on November 5, 2026.
Does Canada Goose pay a dividend?
Canada Goose does not report dividend payments.
What is the analyst price target for GOOS stock?
The mean analyst price target is $9.49, representing an upside of 17.5% from the last close of $8.08.
How has GOOS stock performed relative to the market?
Over the past year, GOOS shares fell 38.0%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over 5 years, the stock declined 78.7%.