Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) AI Stock Analysis

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., founded in 2017 and based in Mexico City, Mexico, explores and produces oil and gas in Latin America. The company's primary operational focus is the Vaca Muerta shale formation, where it holds approximately 183,100 acres. Vista Energy also owns and operates producing assets in Argentina and Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, the company reported total proven reserves of 181.6 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBOE). The business employs 584 people and operates across the upstream energy sector.

Vista Energy grew revenue from $652.2M in FY2021 to $1.14B in FY2022, $1.17B in FY2023, $1.65B in FY2024, and $2.47B in FY2025, representing a 50.2% increase in FY2025. Gross margin shifted from 40.9% in FY2021 to a peak of 76.2% in FY2024 before settling at 47.5% in FY2025, while operating margin was 33.5%. Net income reached $719.1M in FY2025, up from $50.6M in FY2021, with net margin at 29.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 102.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 29.8% year-over-year, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $3.53B and diluted EPS to $7.66.

As of June 30, 2026, Vista Energy held $607.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.75B, leaving net debt at $3.15B. The balance sheet reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13 and a current ratio of 0.69. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $638.5M, but capital expenditures of $1.46B led to negative free cash flow of -$821.6M. The company also allocated $50.2M to share buybacks in FY2025, while its share count expanded 20.3% over the past 5 years.

Vista Energy trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.4x and a forward P/E of 6.3x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Energy peers at 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA stands at 4.6x compared to 8.0x for the peer median, while its price-to-sales multiple of 2.3x sits above the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock gained 101.9%, outpacing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the shares delivered a 1019.0% gain versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

Wall Street coverage consists of 8 Strong Buy and 4 Buy recommendations, with 0 Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $91.67 indicates 27.4% upside relative to the last close of $71.95. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $4.29B and EPS of $190.23, an expected earnings growth rate of 234.9%. Vista Energy beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VIST income statement, VIST balance sheet, VIST key metrics, VIST analyst forecast, VIST chart. See the VIST stock overview for the latest quote and news.