Telephone and Data Systems, Inc (TDS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TDSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TDS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a telecommunications provider delivering wireless services, broadband Internet, and hosted solutions through its UScellular and TDS Telecom units. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, TDS reported $1.26B in revenue and an EPS of $4.00, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with $945.0M in net cash.

Market cap
$3.90B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.26B
P/E
8.5x
fwd 39.1x
1Y return
-11.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$47.50
40.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • TDS maintains a solid financial buffer with $2.19B in cash and short-term investments, supporting a net cash position of $945.0M.
  • Valuation metrics show an EV/EBITDA of 3.6x, compared to the peer group median of 10.0x.
  • Analyst consensus points to an upside potential of 40.1% based on the mean price target of $47.50 relative to the $33.90 share price.

Bear case

  • FY2025 revenue dropped 75.3% to $1.23B, down from $4.96B reported in FY2024.
  • Operating margin for the trailing twelve months remains negative at -6.6%.
  • Next fiscal year EPS estimates of $0.22 reflect a projected 94.2% decline from the current fiscal year EPS estimate of $3.70.

What Telephone and Data Systems does

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a telecommunications provider based in Chicago, Illinois, operating through two main segments: UScellular and TDS Telecom. The UScellular segment provides wireless solutions, including smartphones, tablets, wearables, IoT devices, private cellular networks, and critical connectivity services. TDS Telecom delivers broadband Internet, IP-based services, hosted voice, and video collaboration solutions, as well as its cloud-based TDS TV+ platform. TDS serves consumers, businesses, and government entities across the United States through retail stores, direct channels, third-party retailers, and online platforms.

Growth and profitability

Revenue contracted sharply in FY2025, falling 75.3% to $1.23B compared to $4.96B in FY2024, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -25.1%. FY2025 operating margin stood at -5.0% alongside a net income of -$6.2M. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.26B with a profit margin of 33.2% and an operating margin of -6.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 11.8%.

TDS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, TDS held $2.19B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.25B, resulting in net cash of $945.0M. The current ratio stood at 3.82 and debt-to-equity was 0.24, with shareholders' equity at $5.17B. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $589.9M and free cash flow reached $195.2M. Capital expenditures totaled $394.7M, while cash returned to shareholders included $129.5M in share buybacks and $87.7M in dividends paid.

TDS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

TDS trades at a trailing P/E of 8.5x, below the 16.2x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers, but its forward P/E of 39.1x exceeds the peer median of 14.1x. Its EV/EBITDA of 3.6x is lower than the peer group median of 10.0x, while its price-to-sales of 3.1x is higher than the peer median of 0.8x. Over the past year, TDS returned -11.7%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 101.9% surpassed the index return of 83.0%.

TDS key metrics →

TDS dividend

TDS pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.16 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.47% and a payout ratio of 5.7%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years. However, its 5-year annualized dividend growth stands at -25.1%. The last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

TDS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold rating. The mean price target is $47.50, representing a 40.1% premium to the last close of $33.90. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.24B and EPS of $3.70. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $1.25B and EPS of $0.22. TDS beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 6, 2026.

TDS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company experienced a 5-year revenue CAGR of -25.1%, indicating substantial contraction in business scale.
  • TDS shares fell 17.1% year-to-date and trade 15.0% below their 200-day moving average.
  • Quarterly earnings growth declined 11.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TDS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Telephone and Data Systems, Inc (TDS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TDS income statement, TDS balance sheet, TDS key metrics, TDS analyst forecast, TDS chart. See the TDS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TDS AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does TDS pay?

TDS pays an annual forward dividend of $0.16 per share, yielding 0.47% with a payout ratio of 5.7%. Dividends are distributed quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years.

What is TDS's debt and liquidity position?

As of June 30, 2026, TDS held $2.19B in cash and short-term investments against $1.25B in total debt, giving it a net cash position of $945.0M. Its current ratio is 3.82 and debt-to-equity is 0.24.

When does TDS report earnings next?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 6, 2026. TDS has beaten analyst EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

What do analysts project for TDS's share price?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $47.50, which is 40.1% above the last closing price of $33.90. The stock has ratings of 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold.

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