BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) AI Stock Analysis
TCPC AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) is a business development company focused on direct equity and debt investments in middle-market companies. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated revenue of $177.0M with a profit margin of -61.3% and EPS of -$1.28. The stock closed at $4.16 with an annual forward dividend yield of 18.20%.
- Market cap
- $349.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $177.0M
- P/E
- — fwd 9.9x
- 1Y return
- -11.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $4.50 8.2% vs last close
Bull case
- The forward P/E ratio of 9.9x trades below the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.
- The company offers a high forward dividend yield of 18.20%, supported by 15 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Quarterly earnings grew 13.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Revenue for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, declined 22.2% year-over-year.
- The trailing twelve-month profit margin is negative at -61.3%, accompanied by an EPS of -$1.28.
- Total debt stands at $910.6M against cash and short-term investments of $157.5M, leaving net debt at $753.0M.
What BlackRock TCP Capital does
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. operates as a business development company specializing in middle-market sector investments. It primarily targets small to medium-sized businesses across diverse industries such as communication services, healthcare, energy, retail, biotechnology, and technology consulting. The firm generally engages in senior secured loans, junior loans, mezzanine financing, and other debt instruments for companies with enterprise values between $100 million and $1500 million. It also pursues equity investments to secure ownership stakes, aiming to deliver consistent returns and provide tailored capital solutions across the United States.
Growth and profitability
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. recorded revenue of $153.4M in FY2021, $181.0M in FY2022, and $209.3M in FY2023, before revenue fell to $20.8M in FY2024 and -$76.3M in FY2025. Annual net income shifted from $133.8M in FY2021 to -$88.9M in FY2025, while annual operating cash flow stood at $154.9M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $177.0M with an operating margin of 82.8% and a net profit margin of -61.3%. In the latest quarter, revenue declined 22.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 13.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. held $157.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $910.6M, resulting in net debt of $753.0M. Total assets stood at $1.48B, shareholders' equity was $552.0M, and the current ratio was 9.95. Its debt-to-equity ratio reached 1.65. In FY2025, cash deployment included $3.0M for share buybacks and $95.2M in dividends paid, while the share count expanded 45.3% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $4.16 on October 16, 2026, BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. had a market cap of $349.0M and an enterprise value of $1.10B. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9x is lower than the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x and a price-to-sales ratio of 2.0x, compared to the peer median price-to-sales of 3.2x. Over the past year, TCPC returned -11.0%, underperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%.
TCPC dividend
TCPC pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.76, representing a dividend yield of 18.20% and a payout ratio of 73.1%. The company has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth is -5.4%. Its most recent ex-dividend date was September 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
All 4 analysts tracking TCPC maintain a Hold rating, with no Buy or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $4.50, implying an upside of 8.2% from the last close of $4.16. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.66 and revenue of $129.4M. TCPC has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Analysts project EPS to decrease 48.8% in the current fiscal year to $0.66.
- The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65 reflects substantial financial leverage against shareholders' equity of $552.0M.
- Share count increased 45.3% over five years, creating dilution risk for existing equity holders.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TCPC AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TCPC income statement, TCPC balance sheet, TCPC key metrics, TCPC analyst forecast, TCPC chart. See the TCPC stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TCPC AI stock analysis FAQ
What is BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.'s dividend yield?
TCPC offers an annual forward dividend of $0.76 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 18.20% as of October 16, 2026.
When is TCPC's next earnings release?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.
What is the consensus analyst target price for TCPC?
The mean analyst price target is $4.50, which sits 8.2% above the last closing price of $4.16.
How much debt does BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. carry?
As of June 30, 2026, TCPC reported total debt of $910.6M and net debt of $753.0M against total assets of $1.48B.