StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: STEPAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

STEP AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) is a global private markets investment firm providing direct and indirect investment solutions across asset classes. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $2.01B in revenue but posted an operating margin of -54.1% and net loss of -$521.4M in FY2026. The stock closed at $41.64 with an enterprise value of $4.57B and a dividend yield of 4.13%.

Market cap
$5.38B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.01B
P/E
—
fwd 18.5x
1Y return
-30.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$66.10
58.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • StepStone achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 20.4% from FY2021 to FY2026, reaching $1.99B in FY2026.
  • Analysts maintain a positive outlook with 9 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $66.10, indicating 58.7% upside to the last close.
  • The stock delivers income to shareholders through a 4.13% dividend yield supported by 6 consecutive years of payments.

Bear case

  • Profitability has deteriorated, highlighted by an operating margin of -51.3% and a net loss of -$521.4M in FY2026.
  • The balance sheet features negative shareholders' equity of -$539.2M and net debt of $1.37B as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has declined 30.2% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 gain of 16.8%.

What StepStone does

StepStone Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and indirect investments across private equity, venture debt, mezzanine financing, buyouts, real estate, and infrastructure. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in New York, the firm manages investments typically between $15 million and $200 million, targeting companies with enterprise values up to $25 billion. It operates globally across North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, and South America, allocating 5% to 40% of its investment capital to emerging markets. StepStone also participates in co-investments and follow-on investments to support portfolio companies across multiple sectors, including technology, healthcare, and natural resources.

Growth and profitability

Revenue has shown notable volatility, moving from $1.37B in FY2022 to -$67.6M in FY2023, before rebounding to $711.6M in FY2024, $1.17B in FY2025, and $1.99B in FY2026, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 20.4%. Operating margins shifted from 33.1% in FY2022 to -51.3% in FY2026. Net income was -$521.4M in FY2026 compared to $193.9M in FY2022, though EPS stood at $2.16 in FY2026. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $2.01B with a net profit margin of -30.5%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.0% year-over-year while quarterly earnings fell 38.5%.

STEP income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, StepStone held $201.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.57B, resulting in net debt of $1.37B. Total assets stood at $7.77B, while shareholders' equity was -$539.2M and the current ratio was 24.59. Free cash flow totaled $63.9M in FY2026 on operating cash flow of $66.5M. In FY2026, capital expenditures were $2.6M, while capital return included $8.7M in share buybacks and $117.8M in dividends paid.

STEP balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

STEP carries a market cap of $5.38B and an enterprise value of $4.57B. It trades at a forward P/E of 18.5x, higher than the 10.8x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 2.7x, below the peer group median of 3.2x, while EV-to-EBITDA is 16.5x compared to the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned -30.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, STEP returned 12.2% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

STEP key metrics →

STEP dividend

StepStone pays an annual forward dividend of $1.72 per share, yielding 4.13% based on its last close of $41.64. The payout ratio is 76.8%, and payments occur quarterly. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years, with the last ex-dividend date on August 31, 2026.

STEP dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell ratings. The mean price target is $66.10, representing an upside of 58.7% from the last close of $41.64. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.46 on revenue of $1.61B. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts estimate EPS of $3.40 and revenue of $1.90B. STEP has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 5, 2026.

STEP forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $1.37B and negative shareholders' equity of -$539.2M present ongoing financial leverage risks.
  • High earnings volatility is evident from the -38.5% year-over-year quarterly earnings decline reported for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • With a forward P/E of 18.5x, the stock trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x despite negative trailing twelve-month margins.
  • Short interest stands at 8.5% of float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this STEP AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of StepStone Group Inc. (STEP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: STEP income statement, STEP balance sheet, STEP key metrics, STEP analyst forecast, STEP chart. See the STEP stock overview for the latest quote and news.

STEP AI stock analysis FAQ

What is StepStone Group's dividend yield and payout schedule?

StepStone Group pays an annual forward dividend of $1.72 per share, which equals a 4.13% yield at its $41.64 close. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency and the payout ratio is 76.8%.

What are analysts forecasting for StepStone Group's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts expect EPS of $2.46 on revenue of $1.61B. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts project EPS to grow 38.2% to $3.40 on revenue of $1.90B.

How does StepStone Group's valuation compare to its peers?

StepStone trades at a forward P/E of 18.5x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 16.5x, both above the US-listed Financial Services medians of 10.8x and 11.7x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 2.7x is lower than the peer median of 3.2x.

What is the condition of StepStone Group's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, StepStone had $201.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.57B, resulting in net debt of $1.37B. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$539.2M, while the current ratio was 24.59.

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