System1, Inc. (SST) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SSTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SST AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

System1, Inc. (SST) operates an acquisition marketing platform and a coupon code directory for consumer and business clients. The company faces severe top-line contraction, with revenue falling 61.3% year-over-year in its latest quarter ending June 30, 2026. System1 remains unprofitable with a trailing twelve month net margin of -50.7% and holds negative shareholders' equity of -$26.7M.

Market cap
$18.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$180.9M
P/E
—
1Y return
-70.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$6.50
209.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • One analyst maintains a Strong Buy rating with a mean price target of $6.50, representing a 209.5% premium to the last closing price of $2.10.
  • Next fiscal year revenue estimates project a 21.0% rebound to $159.6M alongside an 87.8% reduction in projected EPS losses to -$1.08.
  • System1 trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x, well below the 1.5x median for US-listed Industrials peers.

Bear case

  • Revenue declined by 61.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -11.0%.
  • System1 carries $300.6M in total debt against $40.5M in cash, leaving it with negative shareholders' equity of -$26.7M.
  • Free cash flow has been negative for four consecutive fiscal years, including -$4.2M in FY2025.

What System1 does

Headquartered in Los Angeles, California, System1, Inc. develops technology and uses data science to run an acquisition marketing platform. Founded in 2013, the company offers responsive marketing solutions designed to optimize customer acquisition across sectors including health, finance, insurance, subscription services, travel, automotive, and business and technology. System1 also operates a real-time coupon code search engine and directory that connects online shoppers with discounts and promotional offers. The company employs 250 people and provides services aimed at enhancing digital visibility and consumer engagement for direct-to-consumer and business clients.

Growth and profitability

System1 has experienced continuous revenue contraction since FY2021. Annual revenue declined from $688.4M in FY2021 to $266.1M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -11.0%. The company reported net losses in four consecutive years, including -$367.5M in FY2022, -$223.0M in FY2023, -$74.7M in FY2024, and -$65.3M in FY2025. Operating margin remained negative over this timeframe, registering -23.3% in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $180.9M with an operating margin of -17.2%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue fell 61.3% year-over-year, and earnings declined 95.0%.

SST income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, System1 held $40.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $300.6M, resulting in net debt of $260.2M. The company has negative shareholders' equity of -$26.7M, total assets of $291.4M, and a current ratio of 0.77. Operating cash flow has been negative since FY2022, including -$4.1M in FY2025 with free cash flow of -$4.2M. In FY2025, cash deployment included capital expenditures of $46,000, share buybacks of $557,000, and dividends paid of $32,000.

SST balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

With a market cap of $18.3M and an enterprise value of $290.4M, System1 trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.1x, lower than the median of 1.5x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 10.0x compared to 13.9x for the peer group. Over the past year, the stock fell 70.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock dropped 97.9% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

SST key metrics →

What analysts expect

One analyst covers System1 with a Strong Buy rating. The mean price target is $6.50, representing an upside of 209.5% from the last close of $2.10 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $131.8M and an EPS of -$8.85. For the next fiscal year, estimates project revenue of $159.6M and an EPS of -$1.08. System1 beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

SST forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • System1 faces working capital pressure with a current ratio of 0.77 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Total debt of $300.6M substantially exceeds the company's market capitalization of $18.3M.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.61 and trades 28.7% below its 200-day moving average.
  • Ownership is concentrated, with insiders controlling 68.5% of the shares.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SST AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of System1, Inc. (SST). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SST income statement, SST balance sheet, SST key metrics, SST analyst forecast, SST chart. See the SST stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SST AI stock analysis FAQ

What is System1's main line of business?

System1 operates a customer acquisition marketing platform powered by data science and technology. It also runs an online coupon code search engine and directory that provides discounts across retail categories.

What is the consensus analyst target price for SST stock?

One analyst covers the stock with a Strong Buy rating and a mean price target of $6.50, which is 209.5% above the closing price of $2.10 on October 16, 2026.

How much debt does System1 have?

As of June 30, 2026, System1 held total debt of $300.6M and cash of $40.5M, resulting in net debt of $260.2M and negative shareholders' equity of -$26.7M.

When is System1's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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