Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SGIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SGI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI), formerly Tempur Sealy International, designs, manufactures, and retails bedding products globally. While annual revenue expanded 51.6% in FY2025 to $7.48B, recent quarterly revenue declined 3.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company carries significant leverage, with net debt of $6.30B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99.

Market cap
$14.64B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.62B
P/E
25.3x
fwd 25.8x
1Y return
-24.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$93.44
47.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue increased 51.6% in FY2025 to $7.48B, supporting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.3%.
  • Wall Street maintains an entirely positive stance with 10 total Buy or Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $93.44.
  • Free cash flow generation was solid in FY2025 at $633.2M, supporting share repurchases and regular dividend payouts.

Bear case

  • Net debt is elevated at $6.30B against $112.0M in cash, accompanied by a low current ratio of 0.75 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Latest quarterly revenue declined 3.0% year-over-year, contrasting with the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median growth of 4.5%.
  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks, posting a 1-year return of -24.5% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.

What Somnigroup International does

Somnigroup International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails bedding products in the United States and internationally. It provides mattresses, foundations and adjustable foundations, adjustable bases, pillows, and other accessories under the Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, Stearns & Foster, and Sleepy's brands. The company operates retail brands including Mattress Firm, Dreams, Tempur-Pedic retail stores, and SOVA. It also licenses its brands and technology to other manufacturers. Sales channels include company-owned stores, online platforms, call centers, and third-party retailers serving distribution, hospitality, and healthcare sectors.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2024, revenue stayed flat near $4.93B before rising 51.6% to $7.48B in FY2025, yielding a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.3%. Gross margin stood at 44.4% in FY2025, while net margin reached 5.1% with net income of $384.1M and diluted EPS of $2.69. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $7.62B with an operating margin of 11.1% and net profit margin of 7.0%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 10.6%.

SGI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Somnigroup International held $112.0M in cash and short-term investments against $6.41B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $6.30B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 1.99, and the current ratio stood at 0.75. In FY2025, the company generated $800.1M in operating cash flow and $633.2M in free cash flow. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $166.9M in capital expenditures, $132.4M in share buybacks, and $127.4M in dividends paid.

SGI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Somnigroup trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3x and a forward P/E of 25.8x, both above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical median of 18.0x trailing and 14.1x forward. Its enterprise value of $19.92B reflects an EV/EBITDA of 16.0x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 1.9x versus the peer median of 0.7x. The PEG ratio is 0.83. Over the past year, the stock fell 24.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%.

SGI key metrics →

SGI dividend

Somnigroup pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $0.68 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.07%. The payout ratio is 23.2%, and the company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was August 20, 2026.

SGI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 8 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings, with no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $93.44, indicating a 47.0% premium over the October 16, 2026 closing price of $63.58. Consensus estimates anticipate FY2026 revenue of $8.84B and EPS of $3.12, followed by FY2027 revenue of $11.55B and EPS of $3.90. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 9, 2026.

SGI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High balance sheet leverage with $6.41B in total debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99 could strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Short interest stands at 9.7% of the float, reflecting negative sentiment among market participants.
  • The company has beat EPS estimates in only 2 of the past 4 quarters, creating quarterly performance uncertainty.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SGI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SGI income statement, SGI balance sheet, SGI key metrics, SGI analyst forecast, SGI chart. See the SGI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SGI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Somnigroup International's current dividend yield?

Somnigroup International pays a forward annual dividend of $0.68 per share, which yields 1.07% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend has been paid for 6 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 23.2%.

What are analysts' revenue and earnings expectations for SGI?

For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $8.84B and EPS of $3.12. For FY2027, consensus projections call for revenue of $11.55B and EPS of $3.90.

How does SGI's valuation compare to its peer group?

SGI trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 16.0x, both higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical medians of 18.0x and 11.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 1.9x compared to the peer median of 0.7x.

How much debt does Somnigroup carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $6.41B in total debt and $112.0M in cash, leading to net debt of $6.30B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99.

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