Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MHKAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MHK AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) designs, manufactures, and distributes flooring products globally across residential and commercial markets. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $11.18B in revenue with an operating margin of 9.8% and diluted EPS of $7.55. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.7x, below its sector peer median, with analysts projecting an EPS of $9.80 for FY2026.

Market cap
$8.15B
Revenue (TTM)
$11.18B
P/E
15.9x
fwd 11.7x
1Y return
-5.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$136.47
13.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 37.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, supported by quarterly revenue growth of 6.8%.
  • The stock trades at an EV-to-EBITDA of 8.0x and forward P/E of 11.7x, both discounted relative to US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers medians of 11.1x and 14.1x.
  • Mohawk maintains steady cash generation, generating $616.2M in free cash flow and $1.06B in operating cash flow in FY2025.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell consecutively from $11.74B in FY2022 to $10.79B in FY2025, recording a 5-year CAGR of just 2.5%.
  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks significantly, falling 34.6% over 5 years while the S&P 500 climbed 83.0%.
  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 14.5%.

What Mohawk Industries does

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes flooring products for residential and commercial spaces across global markets such as the United States, Europe, and Russia. The company operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. Its Global Ceramic segment provides ceramic, porcelain, and stone tiles under brands like American Olean, Daltile, and Marazzi. Flooring North America supplies carpets, rugs, hardwood, laminate, luxury vinyl tiles, and sheet vinyl under brands including Mohawk, Karastan, and Pergo. Flooring Rest of the World offers wood, vinyl, laminate flooring, roofing elements, and insulation boards under brands like Moduleo and Godfrey Hirst.

Growth and profitability

Mohawk's revenue contracted over recent fiscal years, moving from $11.20B in FY2021 to $11.74B in FY2022, before falling 5.1% to $11.14B in FY2023, 2.7% to $10.84B in FY2024, and 0.5% to $10.79B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.5%. Net income shifted from $1.03B in FY2021 to -$439.5M in FY2023, then recovered to $517.7M in FY2024 and $369.9M in FY2025. Gross margin declined from 29.2% in FY2021 to 23.9% in FY2025. However, performance improved in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, where quarterly revenue grew 6.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 37.6% year-over-year.

MHK income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Mohawk held $849.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.36B, resulting in net debt of $1.51B. Shareholders' equity stood at $8.54B against total assets of $13.82B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 and a current ratio of 1.92. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.06B and free cash flow was $616.2M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $440.0M for capital expenditures and $149.8M directed toward share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 9.8%.

MHK balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Mohawk trades at a trailing P/E of 15.9x and a forward P/E of 11.7x, both below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers median of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $9.61B corresponds to an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 8.0x, compared to 11.1x for its peer group median. The company carries a PEG ratio of 0.64, a price-to-book of 0.9x, and a price-to-sales of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 5.3% while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%, and over five years the stock dropped 34.6% against an 83.0% gain for the index.

MHK key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst ratings consist of 5 Strong Buy, 10 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The average price target of $136.47 implies upside of 13.4% from the last close of $120.29 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $9.80, up 9.3%, on revenue of $11.14B. For the next fiscal year, 17 analysts forecast EPS of $9.96 on revenue of $11.38B. Mohawk beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 29, 2026.

MHK forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Gross margins experienced contraction over several years, declining from 29.2% in FY2021 to 23.9% in FY2025.
  • Total debt stands at $2.36B, leaving net debt at $1.51B as of June 30, 2026.
  • Expected EPS growth slows to 1.7% in the next fiscal year following projected 9.3% growth in FY2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MHK AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MHK income statement, MHK balance sheet, MHK key metrics, MHK analyst forecast, MHK chart. See the MHK stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MHK AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Mohawk Industries' ticker and exchange?

Mohawk Industries trades under the ticker MHK on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

Does Mohawk Industries pay a dividend?

Mohawk Industries does not have dividend details reported in its disclosures, opting instead for capital returns via $149.8M in FY2025 share buybacks.

When is Mohawk Industries' next earnings release?

The company's next earnings announcement date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

What are analysts forecasting for MHK's earnings and stock price?

Analysts have an average price target of $136.47, indicating 13.4% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $120.29, with FY2026 EPS projected at $9.80.

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