Vivid Seats Inc (SEAT) AI Stock Analysis
SEAT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchVivid Seats Inc (SEAT) operates an online secondary ticketing marketplace for sports, concerts, and live entertainment. In FY2025, revenue fell 26.4% to $570.8M while net income dropped to -$429.3M. The company carries $401.0M in total debt against negative shareholders' equity of -$105.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $32.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $518.8M
- P/E
- — fwd 22.7x
- 1Y return
- -75.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.68 306.9% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts hold a mean price target of $11.68, implying 306.9% upside from the last close of $2.87.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.8x, which sits below the 10.0x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers.
- Vivid Seats demonstrated previous cash generation capability, delivering $134.5M in free cash flow in FY2023.
Bear case
- Net income swung deeply into negative territory to -$429.3M in FY2025 alongside a profit margin of -60.3% over the trailing twelve months.
- The balance sheet reflects negative shareholders' equity of -$105.1M and net debt of $264.4M as of June 30, 2026.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue contracted 9.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 41.9%.
What Vivid Seats does
Vivid Seats Inc is an online secondary marketplace for event tickets across the United States and Canada, operating through Marketplace and Resale segments. In Marketplace, it serves as an intermediary connecting ticket buyers and sellers for sports, concerts, theater, and entertainment events via its website and mobile applications. It provides sellers with Skybox, a proprietary enterprise resource planning tool for managing inventory, pricing, and order fulfillment. The Resale segment acquires tickets for resale on secondary marketplaces, which supports research and development for Skybox and seller tools.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2024, revenue grew from $443.0M to a peak of $775.6M, before declining 26.4% to $570.8M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 79.5% in FY2021 to 69.6% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 17.3% to -9.9%. Net income stood at $74.5M in FY2023 and $9.4M in FY2024 before dropping to -$429.3M in FY2025. Free cash flow decreased from $49.7M in FY2024 to -$110.9M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $518.8M with a profit margin of -60.3%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 9.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 41.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Vivid Seats held $136.7M in cash and short-term investments against $401.0M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $264.4M. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$105.1M, and the current ratio stood at 0.66. Operating cash flow turned negative at -$91.6M in FY2025. During FY2025, capital expenditures were $19.3M and share buybacks totaled $18.3M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $2.87, Vivid Seats traded at a market capitalization of $32.3M and an enterprise value of $308.4M. Its forward P/E ratio of 22.7x trades above the 14.1x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers. Conversely, its price-to-sales ratio of 0.1x and EV/EBITDA of 5.8x sit below the peer medians of 0.8x and 10.0x, respectively. The stock fell 75.5% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 6 Hold ratings, with zero Sell ratings. The mean price target is $11.68, representing 306.9% upside compared to the last close of $2.87. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $510.3M and an EPS of -$4.64. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company carries $401.0M in total debt with a current ratio of 0.66, indicating constrained liquidity.
- Free cash flow declined from $49.7M in FY2024 to -$110.9M in FY2025.
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float at 22.0%.
- Operating margin weakened from 5.4% in FY2024 to -9.9% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SEAT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Vivid Seats Inc (SEAT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SEAT income statement, SEAT balance sheet, SEAT key metrics, SEAT analyst forecast, SEAT chart. See the SEAT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SEAT AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Vivid Seats pay a dividend?
No, Vivid Seats does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
When does Vivid Seats report its next earnings?
Vivid Seats is scheduled to report its next earnings results on November 5, 2026.
What is Vivid Seats' debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $401.0M in total debt and $136.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $264.4M. Shareholders' equity was negative at -$105.1M.
What are analysts forecasting for Vivid Seats' revenue and earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $510.3M and an EPS of -$4.64. For the following fiscal year, analysts estimate revenue of $519.5M and an EPS of -$3.43.