Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) AI Stock Analysis
RGLD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchRoyal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) is a precious metals stream and royalty company with interests across producing and development-stage projects. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.54B in revenue with an operating margin of 62.0% and a net profit margin of 48.0%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 115.5% year-over-year.
- Market cap
- $20.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.54B
- P/E
- 26.4x fwd 24.2x
- 1Y return
- 16.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $308.75 29.7% vs last close
Bull case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 115.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 38.3%.
- The company demonstrated strong profitability over the trailing twelve months with an operating margin of 62.0% and a profit margin of 48.0%.
- Wall Street analysts set a mean price target of $308.75, representing a 29.7% premium over the last closing price of $238.05.
Bear case
- Royal Gold trades at a forward P/E of 24.2x and a price-to-sales multiple of 13.1x, above the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 13.4x and 1.8x.
- Capital expenditures reached $1.16B in FY2025, which led to free cash flow of -$459.9M.
- The company recorded 0 EPS beats relative to consensus estimates over the trailing four quarters.
What Royal Gold does
Royal Gold, Inc., headquartered in Denver, Colorado, specializes in the acquisition and management of precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests. The company acquires stream and royalty interests or provides financing to mining projects in production or development. Its interests predominantly cover gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, and cobalt. As of June 30, 2022, Royal Gold's portfolio included interests in 185 properties across five continents, consisting of 41 producing mines and 19 development-stage projects. Its property interests are located in mining regions such as the United States, Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, Australia, Africa, and Mexico.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $645.2M in FY2021 to $1.03B in FY2025, delivering a 5-year compound annual growth rate of 10.8%. Performance accelerated in FY2025, when revenue increased 44.6% and net income reached $466.3M, up from $332.0M in FY2024. Operating margin expanded to 64.5% in FY2025 despite gross margin decreasing to 69.3% from 86.3% in FY2024. Diluted EPS reached $7.30 in FY2025 compared to $4.00 in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.54B with EPS of $9.03. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue rose 115.5% and quarterly earnings increased 38.3% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Royal Gold held $182.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $395.9M, resulting in net debt of $213.4M. Shareholders' equity was $7.59B, total assets reached $9.45B, and the current ratio was 2.92 with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $704.8M and capital expenditures were $1.16B, resulting in free cash flow of -$459.9M. FY2025 capital returns included $118.5M in dividends paid and $5.0M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Royal Gold trades at a market capitalization of $20.17B and an enterprise value of $22.10B at a share price of $238.05. The company's trailing P/E of 26.4x and forward P/E of 24.2x exceed the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers at 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple of 13.1x and EV/EBITDA of 17.5x also trade above peer group medians of 1.8x and 10.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned 16.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, Royal Gold gained 154.7% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
RGLD dividend
Royal Gold pays an annualized forward dividend of $1.90 per share, yielding 0.80% with a payout ratio of 20.5%. The dividend is paid quarterly and has been distributed for 27 consecutive years. The company posted a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.0%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was October 2, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 6 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $308.75, which is 29.7% above the last close of $238.05. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.83B and EPS of $10.33, indicating 40.9% earnings growth. Over the last four quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Dilution is an ongoing factor, with the company's share count increasing 29.6% over a 5-year period.
- Gross margin declined from 86.3% in FY2024 to 69.3% in FY2025, showing margin variability across reporting years.
- Substantial capital expenditures caused free cash flow to turn negative in two of the past four fiscal years, reaching -$504.8M in FY2022 and -$459.9M in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RGLD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RGLD income statement, RGLD balance sheet, RGLD key metrics, RGLD analyst forecast, RGLD chart. See the RGLD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RGLD AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Royal Gold, Inc. do?
Royal Gold acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests, primarily covering gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, and cobalt. As of June 30, 2022, its portfolio included interests in 185 properties across five continents, including 41 producing mines.
What is Royal Gold's dividend yield and track record?
Royal Gold offers a forward dividend yield of 0.80% based on an annual forward dividend of $1.90. It has paid dividends for 27 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized growth rate of 10.0%.
What are Wall Street's estimates for Royal Gold's financial performance?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.83B and EPS of $10.33. For the following fiscal year, consensus calls for revenue of $2.19B and EPS of $12.60.
How does Royal Gold's valuation compare to its peer group?
Royal Gold trades at a trailing P/E of 26.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 17.5x, above the US-listed Basic Materials peer group medians of 19.7x and 10.5x, respectively.