The RealReal, Inc. (REAL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: REALAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

REAL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The RealReal, Inc. operates an omnichannel luxury consignment marketplace. In FY2025, revenue grew 15.4% to $692.8M, while free cash flow reached $18.4M. However, trailing twelve months net margin stands at -10.8% and net debt totals $344.2M.

Market cap
$1.26B
Revenue (TTM)
$749.9M
P/E
—
fwd 38.2x
1Y return
-0.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$18.00
73.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • FY2025 free cash flow turned positive to $18.4M, supported by operating cash flow of $37.0M.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 16.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, exceeding the peer median growth of 4.5%.
  • Analysts project EPS to reach $0.10 in FY2026 and grow 201.3% to $0.30 in FY2027.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet exhibits negative shareholders' equity of -$377.7M and net debt of $344.2M as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has dropped 34.2% year-to-date and trades at an elevated forward P/E of 38.2x compared to the peer median of 14.1x.
  • Trailing twelve months net margin remains negative at -10.8%, with an EPS of -$0.94.

What RealReal does

The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace and retail network specializing in consigned luxury goods in the United States. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, the company resells pre-owned authenticated items across categories such as women's and men's fashion, kids' clothing, luxury jewelry, watches, home decor, and art pieces. It operates an omnichannel model combining its digital platform with physical luxury consignment offices and stores. Through curated collections and authentication processes, the company focuses on providing sustainable shopping options and extending the lifecycle of luxury goods.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $467.7M in FY2021 to $603.5M in FY2022, declined 9.0% to $549.3M in FY2023, and rebounded to $600.5M in FY2024 and $692.8M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.2%. Gross margin improved from 58.5% in FY2021 to 69.8% in FY2025, after reaching 74.5% in FY2024. Net loss narrowed from -$236.1M in FY2021 to -$41.8M in FY2025, while operating margin improved from -46.0% to -3.5%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $749.9M with quarterly revenue growth of 16.6% year-over-year. Operating margin was -1.2% and EPS was -$0.94.

REAL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, The RealReal held $119.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $463.3M, resulting in net debt of $344.2M. Shareholders' equity was -$377.7M, and total assets stood at $378.3M, alongside a current ratio of 0.83. Operating cash flow improved to $37.0M in FY2025, delivering free cash flow of $18.4M after capital expenditures of $18.6M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 30.6%.

REAL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $10.39, The RealReal trades at a forward P/E of 38.2x, compared to 14.1x for the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 93.7x versus the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales of 1.7x sits above the peer median of 0.7x. The company has a market cap of $1.26B and enterprise value of $1.46B. Over the past year, the stock returned -0.0% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, and over five years it returned -12.3% versus 83.0% for the index.

REAL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts issue 7 Strong Buy and 2 Hold ratings on The RealReal. The mean price target is $18.00, representing a 73.2% premium over the last close of $10.39. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $795.5M and EPS of $0.10. For the next fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue of $883.4M and EPS of $0.30. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

REAL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.83 indicates potential near-term liquidity pressure relative to short-term obligations.
  • Short interest represents 16.3% of the float, alongside a volatile beta of 2.81.
  • Share count expanded 30.6% over five years, diluting existing shareholders.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this REAL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The RealReal, Inc. (REAL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: REAL income statement, REAL balance sheet, REAL key metrics, REAL analyst forecast, REAL chart. See the REAL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

REAL AI stock analysis FAQ

What was The RealReal's revenue in FY2025?

The RealReal generated $692.8M in revenue in FY2025, which represents a 15.4% increase compared to FY2024.

Does The RealReal pay a dividend?

No, The RealReal does not pay a dividend.

What is the analyst price target for REAL stock?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $18.00 for REAL, which is 73.2% above its last closing price of $10.39.

How much debt does The RealReal carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company carried total debt of $463.3M and cash of $119.1M, resulting in net debt of $344.2M.

More Consumer Cyclical AI stock analysis