AVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL) AI Stock Analysis
RCEL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL) is a regenerative tissue medical device company focused on burn, trauma, and dermatological care through its RECELL System. Annual revenue reached $71.6M in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 67.7%. However, the company remains unprofitable with a net loss of -$48.6M in FY2025 and negative shareholders' equity of -$27.8M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $403.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $75.6M
- P/E
- — fwd 10.3x
- 1Y return
- 142.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $13.41 2.9% vs last close
Bull case
- AVITA Medical achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 67.7%, expanding annual revenue to $71.6M in FY2025.
- Gross margin remained robust at 82.1% in FY2025, having reached 85.8% in FY2024.
- The stock returned 142.4% over the past year and trades at a forward P/E of 10.3x, below the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 17.3x.
Bear case
- The company reported a net loss of -$48.6M and negative free cash flow of -$32.9M in FY2025.
- Balance sheet liquidity is constrained, with cash and short-term investments of $11.1M against total debt of $48.5M and a current ratio of 0.41 as of June 30, 2026.
- Shareholders' equity was -$27.8M as of June 30, 2026, accompanied by a 26.2% increase in share count over 5 years.
What AVITA Medical does
AVITA Medical, Inc. operates as a regenerative tissue company with commercial operations across the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom. It specializes in regenerative products for burn injuries, trauma injuries, chronic wounds, and dermatological conditions such as vitiligo. The company's platform uses a patient's own skin cells, anchored by its RECELL System device that enables clinicians to prepare Spray-On Skin cells for treating acute thermal burns in adult patients. Founded in 2000 and based in Valencia, California, AVITA conducts research collaborations with the University of Colorado School of Medicine and Houston Methodist Research Institute.
Growth and profitability
AVITA Medical increased annual revenue from $33.0M in FY2021 to $71.6M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 67.7%. Annual revenue growth was 512.0% in FY2021, 4.2% in FY2022, 45.7% in FY2023, 28.1% in FY2024, and 11.5% in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 82.1% in FY2025, compared to 85.8% in FY2024 and 81.5% in FY2021. Operating losses persisted across all years, with operating margin at -59.4% and net income at -$48.6M in FY2025, following a net loss of -$61.8M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $75.6M with quarterly revenue growth of 17.8% year-over-year and an operating margin of -31.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, AVITA Medical held $11.1M in cash and short-term investments against $48.5M in total debt, yielding net debt of $37.3M. The company had a current ratio of 0.41 and negative shareholders' equity of -$27.8M on total assets of $47.8M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$31.2M and free cash flow was -$32.9M, with capital expenditures of $1.7M. In addition, its share count expanded by 26.2% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $13.04, AVITA Medical traded at a market capitalization of $403.3M and an enterprise value of $375.4M. Its forward P/E of 10.3x sits below the 17.3x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, while its price-to-sales multiple of 5.3x is higher than the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock returned 142.4%, outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 benchmark. However, its 5-year return of -24.9% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
AVITA Medical holds 3 Strong Buy ratings and no Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings among analysts. The mean price target is $13.41, representing 2.9% above the last close of $13.04. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $124.1M and EPS of $0.42. For the subsequent fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate revenue of $156.1M and EPS of -$0.60. AVITA has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- AVITA faces liquidity risk with only $11.1M in cash and short-term investments compared to net debt of $37.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- Ongoing cash burn is highlighted by FY2025 operating cash flow of -$31.2M and free cash flow of -$32.9M.
- Analyst EPS projections indicate volatility, falling from an estimated $0.42 for FY2026 to -$0.60 for the following fiscal year.
- The stock exhibits high market volatility with a beta of 1.99 and a short interest of 9.4% of float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this RCEL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of AVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: RCEL income statement, RCEL balance sheet, RCEL key metrics, RCEL analyst forecast, RCEL chart. See the RCEL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
RCEL AI stock analysis FAQ
Does AVITA Medical pay a dividend?
AVITA Medical does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company reported capital expenditures of $1.7M and free cash flow of -$32.9M.
What is AVITA Medical's revenue growth?
Revenue grew 11.5% in FY2025 to $71.6M, representing a 5-year CAGR of 67.7%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.8% year-over-year.
What are analyst price targets for RCEL stock?
Analysts have a mean price target of $13.41 for RCEL, representing a 2.9% upside from its last close of $13.04. The stock carries 3 Strong Buy ratings and no Hold or Sell ratings.
What is AVITA Medical's debt and cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, AVITA Medical had $11.1M in cash and short-term investments, $48.5M in total debt, and net debt of $37.3M, alongside negative shareholders' equity of -$27.8M.