Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: PTRNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PTRN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN) operates as an e-commerce accelerator that partners with consumer brands to sell inventory across online marketplaces. The company delivered a 3-year revenue CAGR of 36.2% from FY2022 to FY2025, reaching $2.50B in FY2025 revenue. PTRN maintains a net cash position of $294.5M as of June 30, 2026, alongside free cash flow of $78.9M in FY2025.

Market cap
$3.06B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.01B
P/E
—
1Y return
24.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$27.62
60.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue growth accelerated to 46.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, well above the peer median of 4.5%.
  • The company generated $78.9M in free cash flow in FY2025 while ending June 30, 2026, with $294.5M in net cash.
  • Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $27.62, representing 60.2% upside potential from the last close of $17.24.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 95.7x, substantially higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 11.1x.
  • Net income contracted from $67.9M in FY2024 to $16.2M in FY2025, leaving operating margin at just 1.0% in FY2025.
  • Trailing twelve months EPS was -$1.28, and quarterly earnings fell 16.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.

What Pattern does

Pattern Group Inc. operates as an e-commerce accelerator that combines proprietary technology and on-demand expertise to support consumer brands across e-commerce marketplaces in the United States and internationally. The company acquires inventory from brand partners to sell directly to consumers. It serves several consumer categories, including health and wellness, beauty and personal care, home and lifestyle, pet, sports and outdoors, and consumer electronics. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Lehi, Utah, the company was formerly known as Covalent Group, Inc. before changing its name to Pattern Group Inc. in November 2024.

Growth and profitability

Pattern Group expanded annual revenue from $990.5M in FY2022 to $1.37B in FY2023, $1.80B in FY2024, and $2.50B in FY2025, reflecting 39.3% revenue growth in FY2025. Gross margin was 43.3% in FY2022, 44.0% in FY2023, 43.5% in FY2024, and 42.9% in FY2025. Operating margin declined from 4.9% in FY2024 to 1.0% in FY2025 as R&D expense increased to $46.3M. Net income reached $16.2M in FY2025, down from $67.9M in FY2024, with FY2025 EPS of -$1.75. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $3.01B. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 46.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 16.7%.

PTRN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Pattern Group held $345.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $51.3M, yielding net cash of $294.5M. The company's current ratio stood at 2.35, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 and shareholders' equity of $645.6M out of $1.07B in total assets. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $99.4M and capital expenditures were $20.5M, generating free cash flow of $78.9M.

PTRN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $17.24, Pattern Group had a market cap of $3.06B and an enterprise value of $3.33B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x, compared to the median of 0.7x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA multiple is 95.7x, compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Its price-to-book ratio is 5.6x. Over the past year, the stock returned 24.8%, outperforming the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY).

PTRN key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $27.62, representing a 60.2% premium over the last close of $17.24. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.63 and revenue of $3.44B. For the following fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $4.28B and EPS of $0.79. PTRN has beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

PTRN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margin of 4.0% over the trailing twelve months remains below the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 8.8%.
  • Short interest stands at 16.8% of the float, indicating meaningful negative sentiment among market participants.
  • Operating margin narrowed to 1.0% in FY2025 as annual R&D spending climbed to $46.3M.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PTRN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PTRN income statement, PTRN balance sheet, PTRN key metrics, PTRN analyst forecast, PTRN chart. See the PTRN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PTRN AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Pattern Group Inc. pay a dividend?

No, Pattern Group Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.

What is Pattern Group's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Pattern Group held $345.8M in cash and short-term investments and $51.3M in debt, resulting in a net cash position of $294.5M.

When is Pattern Group's next earnings report?

Pattern Group's next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What are analysts forecasting for Pattern Group's annual revenue?

Analysts estimate revenue of $3.44B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and $4.28B for the following fiscal year.

More Consumer Cyclical AI stock analysis