PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) AI Stock Analysis
PEP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPepsiCo, Inc. is a global food and beverage company operating across segments like Frito-Lay, Quaker Foods, and PepsiCo Beverages. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $98.24B in revenue with an operating margin of 16.9%. While its 1-year return fell 10.4%, PepsiCo supports shareholder returns with a 4.50% forward dividend yield and an annual dividend of $5.92.
- Market cap
- $179.19B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $98.24B
- P/E
- 16.5x fwd 14.9x
- 1Y return
- -10.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $141.59 7.7% vs last close
Bull case
- PepsiCo trades at a forward P/E of 14.9x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.1x, below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers at 26.0x and 18.4x.
- In the quarter ended September 30, 2026, the company posted quarterly earnings growth of 17.4% year-over-year and maintains an EPS track record of 4 beats in its last 4 quarters.
- Shareholder distributions are underpinned by 55 consecutive years of dividend payments, a 4.50% dividend yield, and $7.67B in free cash flow generated in FY2025.
Bear case
- PepsiCo stock has underperformed the broader market, falling 10.4% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
- Leverage remains elevated, with total debt of $51.88B, net debt of $40.72B, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33 as of September 30, 2026.
- Annual top-line growth slowed from 12.9% in FY2021 to 2.3% in FY2025, with consensus estimates anticipating revenue growth of 2.5% for the next fiscal year.
What PepsiCo does
PepsiCo, Inc. manufactures, markets, and distributes beverages and convenient foods worldwide. Operating through seven segments, including Frito-Lay North America, Quaker Foods North America, and PepsiCo Beverages North America, the company offers a diverse product portfolio. Its snacks include potato chips, tortilla chips, and cheese-flavored snacks under brands like Lay's and Doritos, alongside breakfast staples like Quaker Oats and Cap'n Crunch cereals. In beverages, PepsiCo produces Pepsi cola, Gatorade sports drinks, Tropicana juices, and ready-to-drink teas and coffees. Products are distributed to grocery stores, convenience stores, restaurants, and retail outlets, as well as directly through e-commerce platforms.
Growth and profitability
PepsiCo expanded annual revenue from $79.47B in FY2021 to $93.92B in FY2025, producing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.9%. Annual revenue growth moderated from 12.9% in FY2021 to 0.4% in FY2024 and 2.3% in FY2025. Over the same period, gross margin remained steady at 54.1% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 14.0% in FY2021 to 12.2% in FY2025. Annual net income was $8.24B in FY2025, down from $9.58B in FY2024. In the latest quarter ending September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 5.6% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 17.4% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $98.24B.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, PepsiCo held $11.16B in cash and short-term investments against $51.88B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $40.72B. Its current ratio was 0.94, and its debt-to-equity ratio reached 2.33 on shareholders' equity of $22.29B. In FY2025, the company generated $12.09B in operating cash flow and $7.67B in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $4.42B in capital expenditures, $7.64B in dividends paid, and $1.00B in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At its last close of $131.49 on October 16, 2026, PepsiCo traded at a trailing P/E of 16.5x and a forward P/E of 14.9x, both below the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers of 38.7x and 26.0x, respectively. The company's enterprise value of $225.86B reflects an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.1x, compared to 18.4x for the peer median. Over the past year, PepsiCo stock fell 10.4%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 2.6% against an 83.0% gain for the index.
PEP dividend
PepsiCo pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $5.92, representing a dividend yield of 4.50%. The company has paid dividends for 55 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 6.9%. In FY2025, dividends paid totaled $7.64B, and its trailing payout ratio stands at 54.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 4, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 17 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $141.59 implies 7.7% upside relative to the last close of $131.49. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $99.30B and EPS of $8.39, representing 3.1% EPS growth. PepsiCo has beaten EPS expectations in all 4 of its last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- A current ratio of 0.94 as of September 30, 2026, indicates that short-term obligations exceed cash and short-term liquid assets.
- Carrying $51.88B in total debt requires ongoing cash flow generation to fund $4.42B in annual capital expenditures and $7.64B in dividend commitments.
- The stock closed 8.6% below its 200-day average and remains near its 52-week low of $123.47, indicating persistent downward price trends.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PEP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PEP income statement, PEP balance sheet, PEP key metrics, PEP analyst forecast, PEP chart. See the PEP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PEP AI stock analysis FAQ
Does PepsiCo pay a dividend?
Yes, PepsiCo pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $5.92 per share, equating to a 4.50% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 55 consecutive years and has a payout ratio of 54.3%.
What is PepsiCo's valuation compared to peers?
PepsiCo trades at a trailing P/E of 16.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.1x. These multiples are lower than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers, which stand at 38.7x and 18.4x, respectively.
How much debt does PepsiCo have?
As of September 30, 2026, PepsiCo reported $51.88B in total debt and $11.16B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $40.72B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 2.33.
What are analysts forecasting for PepsiCo's financial results?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $99.30B and EPS of $8.39. For the next fiscal year, 23 analysts project revenue of $101.77B and EPS of $8.64.