Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) AI Stock Analysis
KDP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is a major North American beverage company operating across coffee systems, packaged drinks, and concentrates. In FY2025, revenue grew 8.2% to $16.60B with net income reaching $2.08B, though net debt remains elevated at $32.88B as of June 30, 2026. The stock offers a 2.66% dividend yield and trades at a forward P/E of 12.5x.
- Market cap
- $47.11B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.09B
- P/E
- 35.0x fwd 12.5x
- 1Y return
- 28.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $36.21 4.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue climbed 75.6% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
- Forward valuation appears moderate with a forward P/E of 12.5x compared to the Nasdaq-100 sector peer median of 26.0x.
- The company offers reliable income with 18 consecutive years of dividend payments and a 2.66% forward yield.
Bear case
- Total debt reached $34.40B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $32.88B.
- Quarterly earnings fell 90.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Short-term liquidity is constrained, indicated by a current ratio of 0.48.
What Keurig Dr Pepper does
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. operates as a leading beverage company across four main segments: Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages. The Coffee Systems segment manufactures and distributes K-Cup pods, brewers, and specialty coffee via retail partners, third-party distributors, and keurig.com. The Packaged Beverages segment produces and distributes owned and contract-manufactured beverages. The Beverage Concentrates segment manufactures and markets concentrates under brands such as Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Snapple, and 7UP. The Latin America Beverages segment distributes carbonated soft drinks, mineral water, bottled water, and vegetable juice products under brands including Peñafiel, Squirt, and Aguafiel.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Keurig Dr Pepper increased revenue from $12.68B to $16.60B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.4%. Gross margin stood at 54.2% in FY2025, while operating margin was 22.0%, yielding net income of $2.08B and EPS of $2.05. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $20.09B, though operating margin moderated to 12.9% and net margin was 7.1%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 75.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 90.0% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month EPS to $0.99.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper held $1.52B in cash and short-term investments against $34.40B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $32.88B. The company recorded a current ratio of 0.48 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37 alongside shareholders' equity of $25.03B. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.99B and free cash flow was $1.50B after $486.0M in capital expenditures. Capital returns during FY2025 included $1.25B in dividends paid and $9.0M in share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -4.5%.
Valuation and performance
Keurig Dr Pepper trades at a trailing P/E of 35.0x, above the median of its Nasdaq-100 Consumer Defensive peers at 32.9x. Its forward P/E of 12.5x sits below the peer median of 26.0x, while EV/EBITDA is 16.7x compared to the peer median of 17.9x. The stock has a price-to-sales ratio of 2.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.98. Over the past year, KDP posted a return of 28.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 12.0% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
KDP dividend
Keurig Dr Pepper pays an annual forward dividend of $0.92 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.66% on a quarterly schedule. The dividend payout ratio stands at 43.8%, supported by 18 consecutive years of dividend payments. Over the past five years, the dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 8.9%, with the last ex-dividend date occurring on September 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 8 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $36.21 implies an upside of 4.6% relative to the last close of $34.62. Analysts project FY2026 EPS of $2.29 on revenue of $26.31B, followed by FY2027 EPS of $2.53 on revenue of $29.95B. The company has beaten EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $32.88B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37 require steady operating cash flow to service.
- A current ratio of 0.48 indicates that short-term obligations exceed liquid assets.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin compressed to 12.9% from 22.0% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this KDP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: KDP income statement, KDP balance sheet, KDP key metrics, KDP analyst forecast, KDP chart. See the KDP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
KDP AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Keurig Dr Pepper's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Keurig Dr Pepper pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.92 annually, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.66% and a payout ratio of 43.8%.
How much debt does Keurig Dr Pepper hold?
As of June 30, 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper held $34.40B in total debt and $1.52B in cash, resulting in net debt of $32.88B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.37.
What are analysts forecasting for Keurig Dr Pepper's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $2.29 on revenue of $26.31B, followed by an EPS estimate of $2.53 on revenue of $29.95B for the next fiscal year.
When does Keurig Dr Pepper report its next quarterly results?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026.