PEDEVCO Corp. (PED) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE American: PEDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PED AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

PEDEVCO Corp. is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating in the Permian and D-J Basins. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $116.4M, with quarterly revenue surging 561.4% year-over-year as of June 30, 2026. However, the company posted a trailing net profit margin of -14.6% and carries net debt of $74.2M.

Market cap
$182.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$116.4M
P/E
—
fwd 11.3x
1Y return
22.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$18.22
33.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 41.5% between FY2020 and FY2025.
  • Quarterly revenue for the period ended June 30, 2026 surged 561.4% year-over-year.
  • Analysts project full-year EPS to grow 217.7% to $0.82 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

Bear case

  • PEDEVCO recorded negative free cash flow of -$9.7M in FY2025 following $20.5M in capital expenditures.
  • Shareholder dilution has been substantial, with the 5-year share count rising 234.8%.
  • The company's current ratio stood at 0.78 as of June 30, 2026, indicating tight short-term liquidity.

What PEDEVCO does

PEDEVCO Corp. is an oil and gas company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing oil and natural gas assets in the United States. Operating as a subsidiary of SK Energy LLC and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company concentrates on maximizing production and expanding reserves across its core acreage holdings. As of December 31, 2021, its footprint includes approximately 32,870 net acres and 385 net wells in the Permian Basin in New Mexico, along with roughly 11,580 net acres and 78 net wells in Colorado's D-J Basin. The company uses advanced drilling and production technologies to optimize extraction efficiencies across its exploration and development assets.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue grew from $15.9M in FY2021 to $30.0M in FY2022, $30.8M in FY2023, $39.6M in FY2024, and reached $45.8M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 41.5% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 58.2% in FY2025, but operating margin turned to -17.2%, resulting in net income of -$10.4M and EPS of -$0.62. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $116.4M with an operating margin of 33.2% and EPS of -$2.62. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 561.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 82.3%.

PED income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, PEDEVCO Corp. held $10.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $85.0M, resulting in net debt of $74.2M. The company reported a current ratio of 0.78, shareholders' equity of $200.1M, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $10.8M, while capital expenditures reached $20.5M, yielding free cash flow of -$9.7M. Financing activities in FY2025 included $35.1M in share issuance, contributing to a 5-year share count increase of 234.8%.

PED balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

PEDEVCO Corp. trades at a forward P/E of 11.3x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.3x, compared to medians of 12.7x and 8.0x for its US-listed Energy peers. The stock's price-to-sales multiple is 1.6x, below the US-listed Energy median of 1.8x, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 0.9x. Over the past 12 months, PED shares rose 22.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, however, the stock fell 61.1%, trailing the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.

PED key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target is $18.22, which is 33.1% above the last close of $13.69 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $150.0M and EPS of $0.82, reflecting expected EPS growth of 217.7%. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $141.9M and EPS of $1.19. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings date scheduled for November 13, 2026.

PED forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Annual operating profitability has been unstable, moving from 11.9% in FY2024 to an operating margin of -17.2% in FY2025.
  • Total debt of $85.0M significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $10.8M as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company has demonstrated an inconsistent earnings track record, exceeding EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PED AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of PEDEVCO Corp. (PED). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PED income statement, PED balance sheet, PED key metrics, PED analyst forecast, PED chart. See the PED stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PED AI stock analysis FAQ

Does PEDEVCO Corp. pay a dividend?

No, PEDEVCO Corp. does not pay a regular dividend. In FY2025, cash capital allocation was directed toward $20.5M in capital expenditures.

What are PEDEVCO Corp.'s primary asset locations?

As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained approximately 32,870 net acres and 385 net wells in New Mexico's Permian Basin, alongside roughly 11,580 net acres and 78 net wells in Colorado's D-J Basin.

Who owns PEDEVCO Corp.?

PEDEVCO Corp. is a subsidiary of SK Energy LLC. Institutional investors hold 56.1% of the shares, while corporate insiders own 38.1%.

What is the consensus revenue estimate for PEDEVCO Corp. in FY2026?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analyst consensus projects total revenue of $150.0M.

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