Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: OTFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

OTF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) is a business development company focused on lending to upper middle-market technology and software businesses. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.31B in revenue with an operating margin of 73.3%. The stock trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x and offers a forward dividend yield of 15.33%.

Market cap
$4.18B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.31B
P/E
11.4x
fwd 7.4x
1Y return
-25.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$13.61
49.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • OTF trades at a price-to-book ratio of 0.6x and a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4x, well below the peer median forward P/E of 10.8x.
  • The stock offers an annualized forward dividend yield of 15.33% backed by a 66.1% payout ratio.
  • The company produced $924.0M in free cash flow in FY2025 while growing annual revenue by 99.8% to $1.07B.

Bear case

  • Net debt totaled $7.15B as of June 30, 2026, with cash and short-term investments of only $3.2M.
  • Quarterly net earnings fell 22.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has lagged the broader market with a one-year return of -25.0% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500.

What Blue Owl Technology Finance does

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is an externally managed business development company that specializes in upper middle-market investments. The firm makes debt and equity investments, including senior secured or unsecured loans, subordinated or mezzanine debt, and equity-related securities such as common equity, warrants, and preferred equity. Founded in 2018 and based in New York, New York, the company primarily targets investments in technology and software businesses located in the United States.

Growth and profitability

OTF delivered a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 44.5% between FY2020 and FY2025. In FY2025, revenue grew 99.8% to $1.07B, up from $536.9M in FY2024, while net income rose to $720.4M with a net margin of 67.1% and diluted earnings per share of $1.37. Gross margin for FY2025 reached 72.6% alongside an operating margin of 67.9%. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.31B with a profit margin of 28.7%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 5.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 22.8% over the same period.

OTF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $3.2M in cash and short-term investments against $7.16B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $7.15B. Shareholders' equity was $7.54B against total assets of $15.05B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both reached $924.0M. During FY2025, capital allocation included $73.4M in share buybacks and $393.7M in dividends paid to shareholders.

OTF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

OTF shares closed at $9.13 on October 16, 2026, representing a market capitalization of $4.18B and an enterprise value of $6.41B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 11.4x and a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio is 8.8x, compared to the peer median of 11.7x. Over the past year, OTF fell 25.0%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

OTF key metrics →

OTF dividend

OTF pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.40 per share, representing a forward dividend yield of 15.33%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 66.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

OTF dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 4 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean analyst price target is $13.61, representing an upside of 49.1% relative to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $9.13. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.39B and earnings per share of $1.27. Over the last four quarters, OTF exceeded earnings expectations once. The next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

OTF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt reached $7.16B against $3.2M in cash as of June 30, 2026, leaving limited on-balance-sheet cash liquidity.
  • Earnings predictability has been mixed, with the company beating earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Significant capital expansion has diluted shareholders, with share count increasing 231.6% over the past five years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this OTF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: OTF income statement, OTF balance sheet, OTF key metrics, OTF analyst forecast, OTF chart. See the OTF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

OTF AI stock analysis FAQ

What is OTF's dividend yield and distribution frequency?

OTF pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $1.40 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 15.33% as of October 16, 2026.

What are analysts' price targets for OTF?

The mean analyst price target for OTF is $13.61, which sits 49.1% above the stock's last close of $9.13.

When does OTF report its next quarterly earnings?

OTF is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 4, 2026.

How much debt does OTF carry?

As of June 30, 2026, OTF had $7.16B in total debt and $3.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $7.15B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95.

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