Outset Medical, Inc. (OM) AI Stock Analysis
OM AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOutset Medical, Inc. is a medical technology company specializing in hemodialysis systems centered around its Tablo platform. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $117.8M in revenue with an operating margin of -49.5%. It ended the second quarter of 2026 with $147.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash position of $42.7M.
- Market cap
- $74.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $117.8M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -70.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $7.67 94.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Gross margin improved from 7.4% in FY2021 to 39.1% in FY2025.
- The balance sheet maintains positive liquidity with $147.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside a current ratio of 5.19 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $7.67, which is 94.6% above the last close of $3.94.
Bear case
- The stock has dropped 70.4% over the past year and 99.5% over the past five years.
- The company generated negative free cash flow of -$47.1M in FY2025 and an operating margin of -49.5% over the trailing twelve months.
- Shareholders have experienced substantial dilution, with the share count increasing 492.1% over five years.
What Outset Medical does
Outset Medical, Inc. is a medical technology company based in San Jose, California, specializing in the development of innovative hemodialysis systems. The company's flagship product, the Tablo Hemodialysis System, integrates water purification, on-demand dialysate production, and advanced software and connectivity capabilities into a compact console. Originally known as Home Dialysis Plus, Ltd., the company adopted its current name in January 2015. The Tablo system provides flexible treatment options for both acute care settings and home dialysis environments, aiming to simplify workflows, deliver real-time data insights, and enhance patient outcomes across renal therapy.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 19.1%. Revenue reached $130.4M in FY2023 before declining 12.8% to $113.7M in FY2024, followed by a 5.1% rebound to $119.5M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded steadily from 7.4% in FY2021 to 39.1% in FY2025. Operating margin also improved, narrowing from -127.2% in FY2021 to -55.8% in FY2025, while net losses decreased from -$131.9M to -$81.7M over the same period. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $117.8M, with quarterly revenue growth at 0.7% year-over-year and an EPS of -$4.00.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Outset Medical held $147.2M in cash and short-term investments against $104.4M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $42.7M. Total assets stood at $242.4M and shareholders' equity was $96.3M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 and a current ratio of 5.19. In FY2025, the company used -$46.3M in operating cash flow, resulting in free cash flow of -$47.1M after capital expenditures of $798,000. Over five years, its share count increased by 492.1%.
Valuation and performance
Outset Medical trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.6x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 0.1x, compared to a median price-to-sales of 4.1x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.6x. The stock closed at $3.94 on October 16, 2026, representing a 1-year return of -70.4% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year span, the stock fell 99.5%, while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $7.67, representing a 94.6% premium over the last close of $3.94. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $126.0M and EPS of -$3.08. For the next fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $139.1M, representing 10.4% growth, and EPS of -$2.29. The company beat EPS estimates 0 times over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Persistent operational cash burns, including -$46.3M in operating cash flow in FY2025, could require additional capital.
- Total debt of $104.4M results in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 against $96.3M in shareholders' equity.
- The company failed to beat EPS estimates in any of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this OM AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Outset Medical, Inc. (OM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: OM income statement, OM balance sheet, OM key metrics, OM analyst forecast, OM chart. See the OM stock overview for the latest quote and news.
OM AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Outset Medical's core product?
The company develops the Tablo Hemodialysis System, a compact console integrating water purification and on-demand dialysate production for acute care and home dialysis settings.
Does Outset Medical pay a dividend?
Outset Medical does not pay a dividend.
When is Outset Medical's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 9, 2026.
What is the consensus analyst target for OM stock?
The mean analyst price target is $7.67, representing a 94.6% upside compared to the closing price of $3.94 on October 16, 2026.