NEXGEL, Inc. (NXGL) AI Stock Analysis
NXGL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNEXGEL, Inc. (NXGL) manufactures high-water-content hydrogels for healthcare, wound care, and cosmetics applications. The company expanded revenue from $1.6M in FY2021 to $11.4M in FY2025, but it remains unprofitable with an operating margin of -29.3% in FY2025. With net debt of $7.0M and cash of $492,000 as of June 30, 2026, the company faces liquidity constraints despite trailing twelve month revenue reaching $12.1M.
- Market cap
- $2.7M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.1M
- P/E
- — fwd 1.4x
- 1Y return
- -88.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2.00 -64.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 76.1% from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $11.4M.
- Gross margin steadily expanded from 0.5% in FY2021 to 39.5% in FY2025.
- Analyst consensus projects revenue to reach $24.3M in FY2027, representing estimated annual growth of 53.7%.
Bear case
- The company posted trailing twelve month net losses with an operating margin of -68.0% and an EPS of -$14.80.
- Cash and short-term investments totaled just $492,000 as of June 30, 2026, against total debt of $7.5M and a current ratio of 0.43.
- The stock fell 88.2% over the trailing 1-year period and trades 60.1% below its 200-day moving average.
What NEXGEL does
NEXGEL, Inc. specializes in the manufacturing of advanced hydrogels and gels characterized by high water content and electron beam cross-linking technology. Originally established as AquaMed Technologies, Inc. and founded in 1997, the company rebranded to NEXGEL in November 2019. Headquartered in Langhorne, Pennsylvania, NEXGEL develops specialized aqueous polymer formulations used across wound care, medical diagnostics, transdermal drug delivery, and cosmetics. With 19 employees, the company focuses on advancing its proprietary hydrogel solutions through ongoing research and development to supply healthcare professionals and consumer product partners globally.
Growth and profitability
NEXGEL generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 76.1% from FY2020 to FY2025, with annual revenue rising from $1.6M in FY2021 to $11.4M in FY2025. Revenue growth was 130.1% in FY2021, 32.0% in FY2022, 99.7% in FY2023, 112.5% in FY2024, and 31.5% in FY2025. Gross margin improved from 0.5% in FY2021 to 39.5% in FY2025. Operating margin also narrowed from -165.7% in FY2021 to -29.3% in FY2025, while net margin improved from -277.9% to -26.3%. Net income was -$3.0M in FY2025 compared to -$4.3M in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 27.8% year-over-year, while trailing twelve month revenue reached $12.1M with an operating margin of -68.0%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NEXGEL held $492,000 in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $7.5M, resulting in net debt of $7.0M. Total assets stood at $26.4M, with shareholders' equity of $4.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51. Liquidity remains tight, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.43. Operating cash flow was -$1.3M and free cash flow was -$1.4M in FY2025, alongside capital expenditures of $68,000. Over the past five years, the share count changed by -99.6%.
Valuation and performance
With a market capitalization of $2.7M and an enterprise value of $9.5M, NEXGEL trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.2x and an enterprise value-to-revenue ratio of 0.8x. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.5x, and its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 1.4x. These valuation multiples are lower than the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers, which includes a price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x and a forward P/E ratio of 17.3x. NEXGEL's stock declined 88.2% over the trailing 12 months through October 16, 2026, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY).
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage for NEXGEL includes 1 Hold rating and 0 Buy or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $2.00, representing a potential decline of 64.2% from the last close of $5.59 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $15.8M and an EPS of -$18.80. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $24.3M and EPS of -$4.40. NEXGEL recorded 0 EPS beats over the past four quarters, and its next earnings date is November 10, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow remained negative at -$1.3M in FY2025, creating continuous funding pressures given the cash balance of $492,000.
- The company carries net debt of $7.0M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51 and a current ratio of 0.43.
- NEXGEL has missed expectations with 0 EPS beats over the last four quarters.
- The single analyst mean price target of $2.00 is 64.2% below the last closing price of $5.59.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NXGL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NEXGEL, Inc. (NXGL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NXGL income statement, NXGL balance sheet, NXGL key metrics, NXGL analyst forecast, NXGL chart. See the NXGL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NXGL AI stock analysis FAQ
What does NEXGEL, Inc. do?
NEXGEL, Inc. manufactures custom high-water-content hydrogels using electron beam cross-linking technology for wound care, medical diagnostics, transdermal drug delivery, and cosmetic applications.
What is NEXGEL's current financial position?
As of June 30, 2026, NEXGEL held $492,000 in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $7.5M. Its current ratio stood at 0.43, with shareholders' equity of $4.9M.
Does NXGL pay a dividend?
NXGL does not pay a dividend.
What are analysts forecasting for NEXGEL's revenue and earnings?
For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $15.8M and an EPS of -$18.80. For the following fiscal year, consensus forecasts revenue of $24.3M and an EPS of -$4.40.
When does NEXGEL report earnings next?
NEXGEL is scheduled to report earnings on November 10, 2026.