Baxter International Inc. (BAX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BAXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BAX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Baxter International Inc. (BAX) is a global medical technology and supplies company offering dialysis therapies, intravenous equipment, and hospital care products. For FY2025, the company generated $11.24B in revenue but posted a net income of -$957.0M. Over the past five years, the stock has dropped 65.0%, though it gained 32.5% year-to-date through October 16, 2026.

Market cap
$13.07B
Revenue (TTM)
$11.47B
P/E
—
fwd 11.6x
1Y return
10.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$27.92
10.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 36.8% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.6x, below the S&P 500 Healthcare peer median of 16.6x.
  • Shares have gained 32.5% year-to-date and sit 19.9% above their 200-day moving average.

Bear case

  • The company recorded a net loss of -$957.0M in FY2025, marking its second straight annual loss.
  • Baxter holds total debt of $9.67B against $2.15B in cash, resulting in net debt of $7.52B.
  • Revenue has contracted over the longer term, displaying a 5-year CAGR of -0.7% from FY2020 to FY2025.

What Baxter does

Baxter International Inc. develops and provides healthcare products essential for medical treatments across approximately 100 countries. Founded in 1931 and based in Deerfield, Illinois, the company employs 37,500 people. Its product portfolio spans peritoneal and hemodialysis therapies, intravenous therapies, infusion pumps, and drug reconstitution devices. Baxter also provides inhaled anesthesia products, pharmacy compounding services, parenteral nutrition therapies, critical care equipment, and surgical biological products for hemostasis and tissue sealing. Additionally, the company offers continuous renal replacement therapies, intensive care organ support solutions, and connected care technologies for monitoring and diagnosis across hospitals, dialysis centers, nursing homes, and home settings.

Growth and profitability

Baxter generated revenue of $11.24B in FY2025, up 5.7% year-over-year, following $10.64B in FY2024 and $10.36B in FY2023. However, revenue experienced a 5-year CAGR of -0.7% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin contracted to 30.1% in FY2025 from 37.5% in FY2024 and 40.1% in FY2023. Operating margin was -2.7% in FY2025, down from 0.1% in FY2024. The company reported net losses in three of the last four years, including -$957.0M in FY2025 and -$649.0M in FY2024, despite posting net income of $2.66B in FY2023. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 5.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 36.8%.

BAX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Baxter held $2.15B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $9.67B, resulting in net debt of $7.52B. Shareholders' equity stood at $6.21B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 and a current ratio of 1.95. In FY2025, the business generated $845.0M in operating cash flow and $323.0M in free cash flow, down from free cash flow of $559.0M in FY2024. Capital expenditures totaled $522.0M and cash dividends paid were $348.0M during FY2025, while share issuance brought in $30.0M.

BAX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Baxter traded at a forward P/E of 11.6x, below the 16.6x median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value of $19.66B implies an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 25.8x, compared to the peer median of 15.0x. The stock carries a price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x versus the sector peer median of 3.4x, and a price-to-book ratio of 2.0x. Baxter's 1-year return of 10.3% trailed the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of -65.0% significantly lagged the S&P 500 gain of 83.0%.

BAX key metrics →

BAX dividend

Baxter pays an annual forward dividend of $0.04 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 0.16% and a payout ratio of 1.9%. The company has paid dividends for 45 consecutive years, distributing payments quarterly. Its annualized 5-year dividend growth rate was -11.4%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 28, 2026.

BAX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings, 11 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target of $27.92 reflects 10.4% upside compared to the October 16, 2026 close of $25.28. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.05 on revenue of $11.62B. For the next fiscal year, 14 analysts project EPS of $2.04 and revenue of $11.87B. Baxter beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

BAX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow declined to $323.0M in FY2025 from $559.0M in FY2024 and $1.29B in FY2023.
  • Gross margin fell to 30.1% in FY2025, down from 37.5% in FY2024 and 40.1% in FY2023.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 reflects elevated leverage relative to shareholders' equity of $6.21B.
  • Dividend distributions have contracted, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of -11.4%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BAX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Baxter International Inc. (BAX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BAX income statement, BAX balance sheet, BAX key metrics, BAX analyst forecast, BAX chart. See the BAX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BAX AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Baxter International's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Baxter pays a forward annual dividend of $0.04 per share, offering a dividend yield of 0.16%. It distributes dividends on a quarterly basis and has paid dividends for 45 consecutive years.

When does Baxter report its next quarterly earnings?

Baxter is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. The company exceeded EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

How much debt does Baxter carry on its balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Baxter reported total debt of $9.67B and cash and short-term investments of $2.15B, leaving net debt of $7.52B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 1.56.

What are analysts forecasting for Baxter's earnings and revenue?

Analysts project EPS of $2.05 on revenue of $11.62B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. For the following fiscal year, consensus estimates predict EPS of $2.04 and revenue of $11.87B.

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