NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) AI Stock Analysis
NTGR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR) is a global provider of networking equipment and internet-connected solutions across its Connected Home and Small and Medium Business segments. The company generated $694.4M in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of -4.4%. While its 5-year revenue CAGR stands at -11.2%, NETGEAR holds a net cash balance of $222.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $599.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $694.4M
- P/E
- — fwd 222.2x
- 1Y return
- -32.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.00 49.7% vs last close
Bull case
- NETGEAR holds $267.9M in cash and short-term investments against $45.8M in total debt, creating a net cash buffer of $222.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus yields a mean price target of $33.00, implying 49.7% potential upside from the last closing price of $22.05.
- For the next fiscal year, analysts estimate EPS to grow 88.3% to $0.54 alongside 6.3% revenue growth to $720.8M.
Bear case
- Long-term revenue has contracted at a 5-year CAGR of -11.2% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching $693.4M in FY2025.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 68.7% year-over-year while trailing twelve months operating margin stood at -4.4%.
- The stock trades at an elevated forward P/E of 222.2x and EV/EBITDA of 395.8x, compared to US-listed Technology peer medians of 18.8x and 16.6x.
What NETGEAR does
NETGEAR, Inc. designs, develops, and markets networking and Internet-connected solutions for consumers, businesses, and broadband service providers globally. The company operates through two segments: Connected Home and Small and Medium Business. Connected Home provides smart home and broadband access hardware, including Wi-Fi routers, home Wi-Fi systems, modems, gateways, hotspots, range extenders, Powerline adapters, and digital canvasses, alongside value-added services like technical support and cybersecurity protection. The Small and Medium Business segment offers Ethernet switches, Wi-Fi mesh systems, wireless access points, unified storage products, and Internet security appliances. Products are distributed via retailers, online channels, distributors, direct resellers, value-added resellers, and service providers.
Growth and profitability
NETGEAR's revenue fell from $1.17B in FY2021 to $932.5M in FY2022 and $740.8M in FY2023, before declining further to $673.8M in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue increased 2.9% to $693.4M, producing a gross margin of 36.2%, an operating margin of -5.1%, and a net loss of -$32.8M. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a CAGR of -11.2%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $694.4M with a profit margin of -3.7% and EPS of -$0.94. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 1.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 68.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NETGEAR held $267.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $45.8M, resulting in a net cash position of $222.1M. The company reported total assets of $788.7M, shareholders' equity of $456.4M, a current ratio of 2.48, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.6M, while free cash flow stood at -$18.9M. Capital expenditures totaled $20.5M, and share buybacks reached $50.7M, contributing to an 8.2% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $22.05 on October 16, 2026, NETGEAR had a market capitalization of $599.3M and an enterprise value of $382.8M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 222.2x, well above the 18.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 395.8x also exceeds the peer median of 16.6x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.9x is lower than the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, NTGR declined 32.1%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), and its 5-year return of -33.0% trailed the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $33.00, representing an implied upside of 49.7% over the last close of $22.05. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.28 on revenue of $678.2M. For next fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $720.8M and EPS of $0.54. NETGEAR beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating profitability remains negative with a trailing twelve months operating margin of -4.4% compared to the peer median of 13.2%.
- Free cash flow declined to -$18.9M in FY2025 after reaching $155.8M in FY2024, reflecting volatile cash generation.
- NETGEAR shares fell 32.1% over the past year and trade 4.2% below their 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NTGR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NETGEAR, Inc. (NTGR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NTGR income statement, NTGR balance sheet, NTGR key metrics, NTGR analyst forecast, NTGR chart. See the NTGR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NTGR AI stock analysis FAQ
What does NETGEAR do?
NETGEAR, Inc. designs and markets networking and smart home products through its Connected Home and Small and Medium Business segments, including Wi-Fi routers, switches, modems, and security appliances.
What is NETGEAR's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, NETGEAR held $267.9M in cash and short-term investments and $45.8M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $222.1M.
What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for NTGR?
Analysts project revenue of $678.2M and EPS of $0.28 for FY2026, followed by $720.8M in revenue and EPS of $0.54 for FY2027, with a mean price target of $33.00.
Does NETGEAR pay a dividend?
NETGEAR does not currently pay a dividend, though it deployed $50.7M toward share buybacks in FY2025.