Nokia Oyj (NOK) AI Stock Analysis
NOK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNokia Oyj is a global provider of mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions across multiple industries. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $20.39B in revenue with an operating margin of 7.9%. Nokia holds a net cash balance of $1.77B and posted a 63.5% one-year return as of October 16, 2026.
- Market cap
- $51.17B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.39B
- P/E
- 65.3x fwd 24.4x
- 1Y return
- 63.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $14.97 63.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Nokia maintains a sound balance sheet supported by $1.77B in net cash and a current ratio of 1.51 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus projects FY2026 EPS to increase 15.1% to $0.40, supported by 4 consecutive quarterly earnings beats.
- The stock delivered a 63.5% one-year return, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8% over the same period.
Bear case
- Nokia experienced a five-year revenue CAGR of -1.9% from FY2020 through FY2025.
- Quarterly earnings fell 97.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, with trailing P/E at 65.3x and EV/to EBITDA at 25.5x versus US-listed Technology peer medians of 28.1x and 16.6x.
What Nokia Oyj does
Nokia Oyj is a global provider of mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions operating across four main segments: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. Its Mobile Networks segment supplies radio access solutions ranging from 2G to 5G as well as microwave transport links. The Network Infrastructure division delivers fixed networking infrastructure, including fiber and copper access, Wi-Fi mesh systems, IP routing solutions, and optical networks for metro, data center, and long-haul links. In addition, Nokia offers cloud services, core network software, and enterprise business applications.
Growth and profitability
Nokia's revenue moved from $22.20B in FY2021 to $23.76B in FY2022, before dropping to $21.14B in FY2023 and $19.22B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rose 3.5% to $19.89B, while net income stood at $651.0M compared to $4.25B in FY2022. Operating margin contracted to 3.9% in FY2025, down from 8.3% in FY2024 and 10.3% in FY2022. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $20.39B with EPS of $0.14. For the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 8.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 97.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Nokia held $5.13B in cash and short-term investments against $3.36B in total debt, resulting in a net cash position of $1.77B. Shareholders' equity was $21.20B, with a current ratio of 1.51 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16. In FY2025, the company generated $2.07B in operating cash flow and $1.47B in free cash flow. Nokia utilized cash by spending $606.0M on capital expenditures, repurchasing $624.0M in shares, and paying $759.0M in dividends.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $9.14 on October 16, 2026, Nokia carried a market capitalization of $51.17B and an enterprise value of $58.51B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 65.3x and a forward P/E of 24.4x, compared to the median of its US-listed Technology peers of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its EV/to EBITDA multiple of 25.5x also trades above the peer median of 16.6x, though its price-to-sales ratio of 2.5x is lower than the peer median of 2.8x. Nokia's 1-year return of 63.5% outpaced the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
NOK dividend
Nokia pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.16 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.79%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 32.9%, and the company has recorded 5 consecutive years of dividend payments. The last ex-dividend date occurred on July 28, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $14.97, implying a 63.7% upside relative to the closing price of $9.14. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.40 on revenue of $20.77B. Nokia has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 22, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Annual operating margin compressed from 10.3% in FY2022 and 8.3% in FY2024 to 3.9% in FY2025.
- The stock price of $9.14 sits 9.9% below its 200-day average and well under its 52-week high of $17.45.
- Nokia's trailing twelve-month profit margin is thin at 3.5%, leaving limited cushion against earnings volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NOK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Nokia Oyj (NOK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NOK income statement, NOK balance sheet, NOK key metrics, NOK analyst forecast, NOK chart. See the NOK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NOK AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Nokia pay?
Nokia pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $0.16 per share, which corresponds to a 1.79% dividend yield and a 32.9% payout ratio.
What is the consensus analyst target for NOK stock?
The mean analyst price target is $14.97, representing a potential 63.7% upside from its October 16, 2026 closing price of $9.14.
How do Nokia's valuation multiples compare to sector peers?
Nokia's forward P/E of 24.4x and EV/to EBITDA of 25.5x trade above the US-listed Technology peer medians of 18.8x and 16.6x, respectively, while its price-to-sales of 2.5x trades below the peer median of 2.8x.
What is Nokia's debt and liquidity position?
As of June 30, 2026, Nokia held $5.13B in cash and short-term investments against $3.36B in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $1.77B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16.