Nephros, Inc. (NEPH) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NEPHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NEPH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Nephros, Inc. (NEPH) provides specialized water filtration, pathogen detection, and renal medical solutions for healthcare and commercial markets. The company turned profitable in FY2024 and achieved $1.2M in net income on $18.8M in revenue in FY2025. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 36.2% year-over-year while operating margins reached 20.2% over the trailing twelve months.

Market cap
$39.6M
Revenue (TTM)
$20.7M
P/E
24.3x
1Y return
-31.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$6.25
71.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 36.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, with trailing twelve months operating margin reaching 20.2%.
  • The company maintains a solid balance sheet with $3.8M in net cash, a 4.07 current ratio, and low debt-to-equity of 0.07.
  • Analysts project EPS to rise 54.5% to $0.17 in FY2026, with an average target price of $6.25 implying 71.2% upside.

Bear case

  • The stock has lagged broader benchmarks significantly, falling 31.5% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated in certain metrics, with an EV/EBITDA of 22.3x compared to the peer median of 12.0x.
  • The business demonstrated uneven historical free cash flow, generating -$547,000 in FY2024 before improving to $1.6M in FY2025.

What Nephros does

Nephros, Inc. delivers advanced water solutions for medical and commercial applications across the United States through three segments: Water Filtration, Pathogen Detection, and Renal Products. Its ultrafiltration systems remove biological contaminants and pathogens like legionella and pseudomonas in dialysis centers and hospitals, while also serving military, recreation, commercial, and healthcare facilities. The company markets real-time water testing systems and develops medical devices for renal disease, including a 2nd generation hemodiafiltration system. Additionally, Nephros provides commercial filtration solutions under the Nephros and AETHER brands for food service, hospitality, and convenience stores to improve water taste and prevent biofilm and scale.

Growth and profitability

Nephros grew annual revenue from $10.2M in FY2021 to $18.8M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.0%. Gross margin improved from 55.1% in FY2021 to 61.1% in FY2025. After net losses of -$4.1M in FY2021 and -$7.4M in FY2022, net income turned positive at $74,000 in FY2024 and expanded to $1.2M in FY2025. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $20.7M with an operating margin of 20.2% and EPS of $0.15. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 36.2% year-over-year, accompanied by 450.0% quarterly earnings growth.

NEPH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Nephros held $4.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $872,000, leaving net cash of $3.8M. Shareholders' equity was $12.0M on total assets of $15.8M. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 4.07 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow both stood at $1.6M, rebounding from free cash flow of -$547,000 in FY2024. Over a 5-year period, share count increased 10.6%.

NEPH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $3.65 as of October 16, 2026, Nephros has a market capitalization of $39.6M and an enterprise value of $41.9M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 24.3x, closely aligned with the 24.6x median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 22.3x is higher than the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 1.9x sits below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 31.5% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500, and its 5-year return is -53.0% versus 83.0% for the index.

NEPH key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold rating. The mean price target is $6.25, representing a 71.2% premium over the last close of $3.65. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $22.1M and EPS of $0.17, representing 54.5% earnings growth. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $25.7M and EPS of $0.21. Nephros beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

NEPH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A high beta of 1.64 signals greater volatility than the broader equity market.
  • With a small market capitalization of $39.6M, operational scale remains limited.
  • Historical cash flows have fluctuated, including negative operating cash flow of -$492,000 in FY2024.
  • The business experienced prior top-line contractions, including a 2.4% revenue decline in FY2022 and a 0.5% drop in FY2024.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NEPH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Nephros, Inc. (NEPH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NEPH income statement, NEPH balance sheet, NEPH key metrics, NEPH analyst forecast, NEPH chart. See the NEPH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NEPH AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Nephros pay a dividend?

Nephros does not currently pay a dividend.

What were Nephros's revenue and earnings in FY2025?

In FY2025, Nephros generated revenue of $18.8M, representing 32.7% annual growth, and reported net income of $1.2M with EPS of $0.11.

How does Nephros's valuation compare to its healthcare peers?

Nephros trades at a trailing P/E of 24.3x, near the US-listed Healthcare median of 24.6x. Its price-to-sales of 1.9x is lower than the peer median of 4.1x, while its EV/EBITDA of 22.3x is higher than the peer median of 12.0x.

What is the consensus analyst target for NEPH stock?

The mean analyst price target is $6.25, which represents a 71.2% upside relative to the closing price of $3.65 on October 16, 2026.

More Healthcare AI stock analysis