Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) AI Stock Analysis
NBIS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is an artificial intelligence infrastructure company that operates large-scale GPU clusters and an AI cloud platform. The company generated $1.36B in trailing twelve-month revenue, marked by quarterly revenue growth of 454.0% for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. However, heavy investments led to negative free cash flow of -$3.68B in FY2025 and a net debt position of $2.01B.
- Market cap
- $44.98B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.36B
- P/E
- 129.3x fwd 46.1x
- 1Y return
- 34.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $283.60 71.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 454.0% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, reflecting rapid AI cloud platform adoption.
- The analyst mean price target of $283.60 implies 71.4% potential appreciation from the last close of $165.47.
- Next fiscal year revenue is estimated to grow 268.0% to reach $12.29B, backed by infrastructure alliances.
Bear case
- Nebius Group produced negative free cash flow of -$3.68B in FY2025 due to $4.07B in capital expenditures.
- Trailing P/E of 129.3x sits well above the 17.1x median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers.
- Consensus EPS is expected to worsen from -$2.11 in FY2026 to -$6.16 in the next fiscal year.
What Nebius does
Nebius Group N.V. builds full-stack infrastructure for the artificial intelligence industry. Its core business operates large-scale GPU clusters and an AI-focused cloud platform with tools for developers and enterprises to train, fine-tune, and run AI models. The company maintains a strategic alliance with NVIDIA to support AI cloud capacity expansion. Nebius Group also owns TripleTen, an education technology platform for tech career training, and Avride, which creates autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robots. Headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands, it serves customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and international markets.
Growth and profitability
Nebius Group experienced significant structural changes over recent fiscal periods. Revenue fell 99.7% from $4.76B in FY2021 to $13.5M in FY2022 following the separation from its former Russian businesses, before rebounding to $20.9M in FY2023, $117.5M in FY2024, and $529.8M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 68.6% in FY2025 from 37.5% in FY2024, while operating margin remained negative at -112.5%. Net income reached $101.7M in FY2025, producing a net margin of 19.2% and EPS of -$2.16. For the latest trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.36B with quarterly revenue growth of 454.0%, an operating margin of -0.2%, and EPS of $1.28.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Nebius Group held $8.04B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $10.06B, resulting in net debt of $2.01B. Total assets stood at $27.96B and shareholders' equity was $10.34B. The balance sheet maintained a current ratio of 4.03 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $384.8M, but capital expenditures of $4.07B drove free cash flow to -$3.68B. Over five years, the company reduced its share count by 22.8%.
Valuation and performance
Nebius Group trades at an enterprise value of $63.73B and a market capitalization of $44.98B. Its trailing P/E ratio is 129.3x and forward P/E is 46.1x, compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Communication Services peers of 17.1x and 20.2x. The enterprise value-to-sales multiple is 47.0x and price-to-sales is 33.2x, above the peer medians of 7.0x for price-to-sales and 12.5x for EV/EBITDA. The stock returned 34.5% over the past one year, outperforming the SPY return of 16.8%, and advanced 117.2% over five years versus 83.0% for SPY.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings include 13 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $283.60, representing an upside of 71.4% from the last close of $165.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $3.34B and EPS of -$2.11. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts expect revenue to rise 268.0% to $12.29B with EPS of -$6.16. Nebius Group beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings scheduled for November 10, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High capital requirements are visible in the $4.07B in capital expenditures that created -$3.68B in FY2025 free cash flow.
- Total debt of $10.06B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $8.04B, leaving net debt at $2.01B.
- High market volatility is indicated by a beta of 1.46 and a short interest of 18.9% of float.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NBIS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NBIS income statement, NBIS balance sheet, NBIS key metrics, NBIS analyst forecast, NBIS chart. See the NBIS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NBIS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Nebius Group N.V. and what does it do?
Nebius Group N.V. is a technology company building full-stack infrastructure for AI, operating large-scale GPU clusters and an AI cloud platform. It also owns tech training platform TripleTen and autonomous driving developer Avride.
Does Nebius Group pay a dividend?
Nebius Group does not pay a dividend, directing its cash resources toward scaling operations and capital expenditures, which reached $4.07B in FY2025.
What is the consensus analyst target for NBIS stock?
Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $283.60 for NBIS, which is 71.4% above its closing price of $165.47 on October 16, 2026.
When does Nebius Group report its next quarterly earnings?
Nebius Group is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 10, 2026.