The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) AI Stock Analysis
MIDD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchThe Middleby Corporation (MIDD) is a global manufacturer of commercial foodservice, food processing, and residential kitchen equipment. While revenue contracted 17.4% to $3.20B in FY2025 and net income shifted to -$277.7M, the business still produced $558.4M in free cash flow. Middleby trades at a forward P/E of 14.6x, below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, as analysts forecast EPS of $6.87 for FY2026.
- Market cap
- $4.87B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.39B
- P/E
- — fwd 14.6x
- 1Y return
- -19.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $155.67 44.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow generation remained solid at $558.4M in FY2025, supported by $630.2M in operating cash flow.
- The company trades at a forward P/E of 14.6x and EV/EBITDA of 9.7x, both at a discount to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 17.2x and 13.9x.
- Middleby has surpassed EPS consensus estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, and analysts maintain a mean price target of $155.67.
Bear case
- Revenue fell 17.4% to $3.20B in FY2025, and FY2026 revenue is projected to decline further to $2.51B.
- The company posted net income of -$277.7M in FY2025 and an EPS of -$5.42 for the trailing twelve months.
- Middleby carries $1.82B in net debt with total debt of $1.98B against cash of just $159.2M as of June 30, 2026.
What Middleby does
The Middleby Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and services equipment solutions across commercial foodservice, food processing, and residential kitchens. Its Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group provides cooking and preparation solutions such as ovens, ranges, fryers, steamers, cooktops, ventilation systems, ice machines, and refrigeration. The Food Processing Equipment Group segment offers batch and continuous processing ovens, frying systems, mixers, grinders, and packaging equipment for food manufacturers. In the Residential Kitchen Equipment Group segment, Middleby supplies premium appliances for homes, including cookers, dishwashers, microwaves, wine coolers, and outdoor cooking equipment across the United States, Canada, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Latin America.
Growth and profitability
Middleby generated $3.20B in revenue for FY2025, falling 17.4% after a 4.0% decline to $3.88B in FY2024. Despite lower revenue, gross margin expanded to 39.1% and operating margin reached 18.4% in FY2025. However, net income was -$277.7M with a net margin of -8.7%, down from $428.4M in FY2024, while EPS finished at $9.22. Over the five years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 5.0%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.39B with an operating margin of 17.4% and diluted EPS of -$5.42. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 9.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 39.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Middleby held $159.2M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.98B, resulting in net debt of $1.82B. Total assets were $5.36B against shareholders' equity of $2.21B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90 and a current ratio of 1.99. In FY2025, the company produced $630.2M in operating cash flow and $558.4M in free cash flow. Cash deployment included $71.8M in capital expenditures and $723.6M in share buybacks, contributing to a 20.6% reduction in share count over five years.
Valuation and performance
Middleby trades at a market capitalization of $4.87B and an enterprise value of $6.87B. At a forward P/E of 14.6x, it trades below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 17.2x. Its EV/EBITDA of 9.7x and price-to-sales of 1.4x also sit below peer medians of 13.9x and 1.5x, respectively. The stock's price to book is 2.3x and PEG ratio is 1.51. Over the past year, Middleby shares declined 19.6%, trailing the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, the stock dropped 37.4% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on Middleby consists of 7 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $155.67 sits 44.4% above the last close of $107.78. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $6.87, representing a 25.9% decline, on revenue of $2.51B. For the following fiscal year, 11 analysts project EPS of $7.78 on revenue of $2.61B. Middleby beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net income volatility is notable, swinging from $428.4M in FY2024 to -$277.7M in FY2025.
- A total debt load of $1.98B relative to $159.2M in cash presents balance sheet leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90.
- Quarterly earnings dropped 39.3% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, highlighting near-term profit pressure.
- The stock exhibits elevated market sensitivity with a beta of 1.34 and trades 22.6% below its 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MIDD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of The Middleby Corporation (MIDD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MIDD income statement, MIDD balance sheet, MIDD key metrics, MIDD analyst forecast, MIDD chart. See the MIDD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MIDD AI stock analysis FAQ
What does The Middleby Corporation do?
The Middleby Corporation provides foodservice, food processing, and residential kitchen equipment worldwide across three primary segments. It manufactures and services commercial kitchen appliances, industrial food processing systems, and premium residential cooking products.
Does The Middleby Corporation pay a dividend?
The Middleby Corporation does not pay a dividend based on the provided data. In FY2025, the company returned capital primarily through share buybacks totaling $723.6M.
What is Middleby's debt profile?
As of June 30, 2026, Middleby had $1.98B in total debt and $159.2M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $1.82B. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.90, supported by a current ratio of 1.99.
What are Wall Street analysts expecting for Middleby's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $6.87 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and project an increase of 13.2% to $7.78 for the following fiscal year. The mean price target from analysts is $155.67, which is 44.4% above its closing price of $107.78 on October 16, 2026.