Mesoblast Limited (MESO) AI Stock Analysis
MESO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMesoblast Limited is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing regenerative medicine products derived from mesenchymal lineage cells. In FY2026, revenue expanded 602.3% to $120.8M, driven by strong quarterly revenue growth of 390.7% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026. However, the business remains unprofitable, generating net income of -$57.8M in FY2026 and an operating margin of -42.6%.
- Market cap
- $1.72B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $120.2M
- P/E
- — fwd 454.5x
- 1Y return
- -26.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $37.00 178.6% vs last close
Bull case
- FY2026 revenue surged 602.3% to $120.8M as gross margin expanded to 84.1%.
- Consensus estimates anticipate profitability by the fiscal year ending June 30, 2028, with projected EPS of $0.46 on revenue of $424.8M.
- Wall Street analysts maintain an average price target of $37.00, implying 178.6% upside from the recent price of $13.28.
Bear case
- The company remains cash flow negative, posting -$44.7M in free cash flow and -$43.8M in operating cash flow for FY2026.
- Mesoblast trades at an elevated forward price-to-earnings multiple of 454.5x and price-to-sales of 14.3x versus the peer median of 4.1x.
- Significant past dilution has expanded the total share count by 100.2% over the last five years.
What Mesoblast does
Mesoblast Limited is a Melbourne, Australia-based regenerative medicine company operating internationally across Australia, the United States, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and Switzerland. The company develops therapeutics using its proprietary platform centered on mesenchymal lineage cells. Its lead candidate, Remestemcel-L, is being evaluated in Phase III trials for conditions including steroid refractory acute graft versus host disease, acute respiratory distress syndrome, biologic refractory inflammatory bowel disease, chronic heart failure, and chronic low back pain. Additional pipeline candidates include MPC-300-IV for rheumatoid arthritis and diabetic nephropathy, and MPC-25-IC for acute myocardial infarction. Mesoblast maintains strategic collaborations with Tasly Pharmaceutical Group, JCR Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd., and Grunenthal.
Growth and profitability
Mesoblast's revenue rose from $10.2M in FY2022 to $120.8M in FY2026, generating a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 74.5% from FY2021 to FY2026. Following annual revenue declines of 26.5% in FY2023 to $7.5M and 21.3% in FY2024 to $5.9M, top-line growth accelerated 191.4% in FY2025 to $17.2M and 602.3% in FY2026. Gross margin turned positive to 70.2% in FY2025 and reached 84.1% in FY2026. Net losses narrowed from -$102.1M in FY2025 to -$57.8M in FY2026, with net margin improving to -47.8%. Research and development expenses grew to $97.9M in FY2026, while quarterly revenue growth reached 390.7% year-over-year for the quarter ending June 30, 2026.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Mesoblast held $102.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $127.3M, resulting in net debt of $24.4M. Shareholders' equity stood at $568.4M on total assets of $773.1M. The company reported a current ratio of 2.43 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22. Cash flow from operations was -$43.8M in FY2026, leading to free cash flow of -$44.7M after capital expenditures of $898,000. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 100.2%.
Valuation and performance
Mesoblast closed at $13.28 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $1.72B and an enterprise value of $2.09B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 14.3x and an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 17.4x, well above the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 4.1x price-to-sales. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio is 454.5x, compared to the peer median of 17.3x. Mesoblast's shares fell 26.6% over the trailing 12 months, trailing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock generated a 16.9% gain versus 83.0% for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings, with zero Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean analyst price target is $37.00, representing 178.6% upside over the last close of $13.28. Consensus forecasts project revenue of $267.6M and an EPS of -$0.06 for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2027. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts expect revenue to rise 58.7% to $424.8M with positive EPS of $0.46. Mesoblast beat EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $127.3M exceeds cash and short-term investments of $102.9M, leaving net debt at $24.4M.
- R&D expenses expanded to $97.9M in FY2026, sustaining ongoing net losses of -$57.8M.
- The stock has shown negative momentum, trading 15.4% below its 200-day moving average and down 26.4% year-to-date.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MESO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Mesoblast Limited (MESO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MESO income statement, MESO balance sheet, MESO key metrics, MESO analyst forecast, MESO chart. See the MESO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MESO AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Mesoblast's core product candidate?
Mesoblast's flagship product candidate is Remestemcel-L, a cellular therapy in Phase III clinical development for acute graft versus host disease, acute respiratory distress syndrome, inflammatory bowel disease, chronic heart failure, and chronic low back pain.
How fast is Mesoblast growing its revenue?
Mesoblast grew revenue by 602.3% in FY2026 to $120.8M, up from $17.2M in FY2025, and achieved a five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 74.5% between FY2021 and FY2026.
Is Mesoblast profitable?
No, Mesoblast is not profitable. The company recorded a net income of -$57.8M and an operating margin of -42.6% for FY2026.
What do Wall Street analysts expect for MESO stock?
All 3 covering analysts rate MESO as a Buy or Strong Buy, with an average price target of $37.00 compared to its last closing price of $13.28.