Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LNCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LNC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lincoln National Corporation is a financial services company operating across Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance, and Group Protection segments. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $19.39B in revenue with diluted EPS of $11.73 and a return on equity of 22.6%. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 3.4x and offers an annual forward dividend yield of 4.52%.

Market cap
$7.63B
Revenue (TTM)
$19.39B
P/E
3.4x
fwd 5.2x
1Y return
9.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$47.83
20.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company trades at a forward P/E of 5.2x and a price-to-book ratio of 0.8x, well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median forward P/E of 10.8x.
  • Quarterly financial momentum remains positive, demonstrated by 12.6% year-over-year revenue growth and 76.8% earnings growth for the period ending June 30, 2026.
  • Lincoln National Corporation delivers steady capital returns through a 4.52% dividend yield supported by 42 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Bear case

  • The stock has substantially underperformed the broader market, posting a 5-year return of -28.3% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
  • Free cash flow has been negative for three consecutive years, recording -$2.07B in FY2023, -$2.01B in FY2024, and -$167.0M in FY2025.
  • Full-year earnings for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, are projected to decline 4.0% to an EPS estimate of $7.90.

What Lincoln National does

Lincoln National Corporation operates within the insurance and retirement sectors across four distinct segments: Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance, and Group Protection. The Annuities segment offers fixed, variable, and indexed variable annuities for retirement income solutions. The Retirement Plan Services segment provides defined contribution retirement plan products, recordkeeping, compliance testing, and custodial services to employers. The Life Insurance segment delivers term, universal, variable, and indexed universal life policies alongside riders for critical illness and long-term care. Group Protection provides non-medical coverages including disability, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $17.61B in FY2021 to $18.21B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 0.7%. After experiencing net losses of -$2.23B in FY2022 and -$752.0M in FY2023, net income rebounded to $3.27B in FY2024 and reached $1.18B in FY2025, producing a net margin of 6.5%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 12.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 76.8%. Over the trailing twelve months, total revenue was $19.39B with an operating margin of 4.6% and a profit margin of 12.2%, generating an EPS of $11.73.

LNC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Lincoln National Corporation held $52.32B in cash and short-term investments against $6.87B in total debt, resulting in net cash of $45.45B. The company reported shareholders' equity of $11.35B and total assets of $429.80B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 and a current ratio of 25.41. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow stood at -$167.0M. During FY2025, cash deployment included $416.0M in dividends paid alongside $829.0M from share issuance.

LNC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $39.83 on October 16, 2026, Lincoln National Corporation carries a market capitalization of $7.63B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 3.4x and a forward P/E of 5.2x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.4x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 9.6% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, while its 5-year return of -28.3% trailed the index return of 83.0%.

LNC key metrics →

LNC dividend

The company pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annual forward payout of $1.80 per share, representing a dividend yield of 4.52%. Lincoln National Corporation has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 42 years, supported by a payout ratio of 22.1% and a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.4%. Its last ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.

LNC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $47.83 implies an upside of 20.1% from the last close of $39.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $7.90 and revenue of $19.79B. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.

LNC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Negative operating cash flow persisted into FY2025 at -$167.0M, posing ongoing cash generation headwinds.
  • Historical annual revenue has shown high volatility, including a 37.7% contraction in FY2023 followed by a 53.6% swing in FY2024.
  • Shareholder dilution occurred as the 5-year share count expanded 7.1%, alongside $829.0M in share issuance in FY2025.
  • Trailing operating margin of 4.6% sits well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LNC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lincoln National Corporation (LNC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LNC income statement, LNC balance sheet, LNC key metrics, LNC analyst forecast, LNC chart. See the LNC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LNC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Lincoln National Corporation's dividend yield and payout schedule?

The stock offers an annual forward dividend of $1.80 per share, yielding 4.52% paid on a quarterly schedule. It has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 22.1%.

When does Lincoln National Corporation report its next earnings?

The next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Lincoln National Corporation has beaten EPS expectations in each of the past 4 quarters.

How do analysts view LNC stock?

Analysts hold 3 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The average price target of $47.83 reflects a 20.1% premium to the last closing price of $39.83.

How does Lincoln National Corporation's valuation compare to its peers?

The company trades at a trailing P/E of 3.4x and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x, lower than the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 3.2x, respectively.

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