Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) AI Stock Analysis
LLY AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchEli Lilly and Company is a global pharmaceutical leader addressing health challenges across diabetes, oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and osteoporosis. Revenue surged to $65.18B in FY2025 with an operating margin of 45.6%, while trailing twelve months revenue reached $79.67B. The company closed at $1257.03 with a market capitalization of $1.12T.
- Market cap
- $1.12T
- Revenue (TTM)
- $79.67B
- P/E
- 42.2x fwd 24.4x
- 1Y return
- 54.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $1328.05 5.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue growth of 47.7% year-over-year in the quarter ending June 30, 2026 demonstrates continued rapid business expansion.
- FY2025 net income reached $20.64B on an operating margin of 45.6%, showing strong operational profitability.
- Eli Lilly has beaten consensus earnings per share estimates across each of the past 4 consecutive quarters.
Bear case
- The stock carries a trailing P/E of 42.2x, significantly higher than the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers at 27.2x.
- Total debt expanded to $54.91B as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $45.96B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62.
- The mean analyst price target of $1328.05 suggests a modest upside potential of 5.7% from the last close of $1257.03.
What Eli Lilly does
Eli Lilly and Company is a global pharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and delivering life-saving medicines worldwide. Founded in 1876, the company operates across key therapeutic areas including diabetes, oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and osteoporosis. In diabetes care, it provides insulin therapies such as Humalog, Humulin, and Basaglar. Its oncology portfolio includes treatments such as Alimta for non-small cell lung cancer and Cyramza for gastric, colorectal, and lung cancers. In autoimmune diseases, Eli Lilly offers medications including Taltz and Olumiant, while its neuroscience portfolio includes Cymbalta for depressive disorders and Emgality for migraine prevention.
Growth and profitability
Eli Lilly experienced substantial top-line acceleration over recent years, with annual revenue growing from $28.32B in FY2021 to $28.54B in FY2022, $34.12B in FY2023, $45.04B in FY2024, and $65.18B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 21.6%. Profitability expanded significantly alongside top-line gains, as gross margin reached 83.0% and operating margin rose to 45.6% in FY2025. Net income increased from $5.58B in FY2021 to $20.64B in FY2025, with diluted EPS expanding to $24.21. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 47.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 26.2%. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $79.67B with an operating margin of 54.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Eli Lilly held $8.95B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $54.91B, resulting in net debt of $45.96B. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.35 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.62 against shareholders' equity of $33.88B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $16.81B and free cash flow stood at $8.97B. Capital allocation during FY2025 included $7.84B in capital expenditures, $5.38B in dividends paid, and $4.11B in share buybacks, which contributed to a 5-year share count reduction of 6.3%.
Valuation and performance
Eli Lilly trades at a trailing P/E of 42.2x and a forward P/E of 24.4x, both above the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers of 27.2x and 16.5x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 14.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 25.7x compare to sector peer medians of 3.4x and 15.0x. Over the past 1-year period, the stock delivered a return of 54.4%, outperforming the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 benchmark. Over 5 years, the stock returned 452.9% compared to 83.0% for the index.
LLY dividend
Eli Lilly provides an annual forward dividend of $6.92 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.55% and a payout ratio of 21.2%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 55 years and recorded a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 15.2%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 14, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 20 Strong Buy, 6 Buy, 3 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $1328.05 implies upside of 5.7% relative to the last close of $1257.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $88.50B and EPS of $35.02, representing 44.6% EPS growth. Eli Lilly beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Leverage is elevated, with total debt at $54.91B compared to cash and short-term investments of $8.95B as of June 30, 2026.
- High valuation multiples, including a price-to-sales ratio of 14.1x versus the sector peer median of 3.4x, leave little margin for revenue decelerations.
- Capital expenditures reached $7.84B alongside $13.34B in R&D expenses in FY2025, demanding continued high operating cash flow generation.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LLY AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Eli Lilly and Company (LLY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LLY income statement, LLY balance sheet, LLY key metrics, LLY analyst forecast, LLY chart. See the LLY stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LLY AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Eli Lilly's current dividend yield and payment record?
Eli Lilly pays an annual forward dividend of $6.92 per share, yielding 0.55% with a payout ratio of 21.2%. The company has paid dividends for 55 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 15.2%.
How did Eli Lilly perform financially in FY2025?
In FY2025, Eli Lilly generated $65.18B in revenue, up 44.7% from FY2024. Net income reached $20.64B, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $24.21 and an operating cash flow of $16.81B.
How does Eli Lilly's valuation compare to its peer group?
Eli Lilly trades at a trailing P/E of 42.2x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 25.7x. Both multiples trade at a premium to the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers, which stand at 27.2x and 15.0x, respectively.
When is Eli Lilly's next earnings report and what are analyst estimates?
The next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026. For the full fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $88.50B and EPS of $35.02.