Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: JNJAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

JNJ AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Johnson & Johnson is a global healthcare giant operating across Consumer Health, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $94.19B with net income of $26.80B and generated $19.70B in free cash flow. While its trailing twelve-month revenue reached $99.33B, recent quarterly earnings declined 96.0% year-over-year.

Market cap
$615.87B
Revenue (TTM)
$99.33B
P/E
38.8x
fwd 21.0x
1Y return
36.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$279.41
9.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Johnson & Johnson generated strong cash generation in FY2025, producing $19.70B in free cash flow and $24.53B in operating cash flow.
  • The company maintains a 57-year consecutive dividend track record supported by a 5.2% 5-year annualized dividend growth rate.
  • Analyst consensus projects full-year FY2026 revenue to surpass $101.22B with EPS expanding to $11.12.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 96.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
  • Valuation multiples are elevated, with trailing P/E of 38.8x versus the S&P 500 Healthcare peer median of 27.2x.
  • Net debt stood at $28.28B as of June 30, 2026, alongside $49.04B in total debt.

What Johnson & Johnson does

Johnson & Johnson is a multinational healthcare corporation engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and global distribution of diverse healthcare products. It operates through three core segments: Consumer Health, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices. Its Consumer Health segment features recognized brands such as JOHNSON'S, AVEENO Baby, LISTERINE, NEUTROGENA, and TYLENOL for oral hygiene, skin health, pain management, and baby care. The Pharmaceutical segment develops prescription therapies for rheumatoid arthritis, HIV/AIDS, COVID-19, mental health, cancer, diabetes, and eye diseases. The Medical Devices segment manufactures solutions for cardiovascular diseases, strokes, orthopedic procedures, spine treatments, and contact lenses under the ACUVUE brand.

Growth and profitability

Johnson & Johnson increased revenue from $78.74B in FY2021 to $94.19B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.7% through FY2025. Annual net income fluctuated over this span, rising to $35.15B in FY2023, falling to $14.07B in FY2024, and recovering to $26.80B in FY2025, alongside an operating margin of 27.2%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $99.33B with a net profit margin of 16.2% and an operating margin of 25.1%. For the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 5.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 96.0%.

JNJ income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Johnson & Johnson held $20.76B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $49.04B, resulting in net debt of $28.28B. Shareholders' equity was $84.97B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58 and a current ratio of 1.09. In FY2025, the company generated $24.53B in operating cash flow and invested $4.83B in capital expenditures. Capital returns in FY2025 included $12.38B in dividends paid and $5.95B in share buybacks.

JNJ balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Johnson & Johnson trades at a trailing P/E of 38.8x and a forward P/E of 21.0x, above the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers at 27.2x and 16.5x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple of 6.2x and EV/EBITDA of 19.9x also trade at premiums to the sector peer medians of 3.4x and 15.0x. Over the past year, the stock returned 36.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 82.2% was slightly below the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

JNJ key metrics →

JNJ dividend

Johnson & Johnson offers a forward annual dividend of $5.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.10% and a payout ratio of 39.3%. The company distributes quarterly dividends and has paid dividends for 57 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 5.2%.

JNJ dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 11 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on Johnson & Johnson. The mean price target is $279.41, representing 9.3% upside from the last close of $255.56. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $101.22B and EPS of $11.12. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 3 times.

JNJ forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The 96.0% drop in quarterly earnings highlights potential volatility in reported bottom-line results.
  • Valuation risk exists as the price-to-sales ratio of 6.2x exceeds the S&P 500 Healthcare peer median of 3.4x.
  • The company carries $49.04B in total debt relative to $20.76B in cash and short-term investments.
  • Top-line growth has been modest, reflected in a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.7% through FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this JNJ AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: JNJ income statement, JNJ balance sheet, JNJ key metrics, JNJ analyst forecast, JNJ chart. See the JNJ stock overview for the latest quote and news.

JNJ AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Johnson & Johnson pay?

Johnson & Johnson pays a forward annual dividend of $5.36 per share, which equates to a 2.10% dividend yield and a 39.3% payout ratio. The company has paid dividends for 57 consecutive years.

What is Johnson & Johnson's revenue and earnings outlook?

For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $101.22B and EPS of $11.12. For the following fiscal year, 21 analysts estimate revenue of $107.90B and EPS of $11.71.

How does Johnson & Johnson's valuation compare to peers?

The stock trades at a forward P/E of 21.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 19.9x, both higher than the S&P 500 Healthcare peer medians of 16.5x and 15.0x, respectively.

How much debt does Johnson & Johnson have?

As of June 30, 2026, Johnson & Johnson had total debt of $49.04B and cash and short-term investments of $20.76B, leaving net debt at $28.28B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58.

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