Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN) AI Stock Analysis
LIEN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN) is a specialty finance business development company focused on credit and equity investments across the cannabis ecosystem. For the trailing twelve months, the company generated $60.0M in revenue with a 52.8% profit margin and an operating margin of 62.0%. The stock carries a forward dividend yield of 14.90% and trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 6.6x.
- Market cap
- $208.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $60.0M
- P/E
- 6.6x fwd 6.3x
- 1Y return
- 3.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.00 20.4% vs last close
Bull case
- The company delivers strong profitability, highlighted by a TTM operating margin of 62.0% and a TTM profit margin of 52.8%.
- LIEN offers an annual forward dividend of $1.36, which represents a 14.90% dividend yield.
- Analyst consensus sets a mean price target of $11.00, which is 20.4% above the last closing price of $9.14.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 29.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company posted negative free cash flow of -$20.5M in FY2025 while paying out $23.3M in dividends.
- Shares have underperformed the broader market, returning 3.4% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
What Chicago Atlantic BDC does
Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc., formerly Silver Spike Investment Corp., is a specialty finance company and business development company based in New York, New York. Founded in 2021, the firm focuses on investing across the cannabis ecosystem through direct loans and equity ownership in privately held cannabis companies. It partners with private equity firms, entrepreneurs, business owners, and management teams to provide credit and equity financing alternatives. These financings support buyouts, recapitalizations, growth initiatives, refinancings, and acquisitions across cannabis businesses, including cannabis-enabling technology firms, health and wellness companies, and hemp and CBD distribution enterprises.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew significantly from $10,073 in FY2021 to $4.0M in FY2022, $10.0M in FY2023, $18.0M in FY2024, and $54.3M in FY2025, representing a 4-year revenue CAGR of 756.9%. Net income expanded from -$563,365 in FY2021 to $33.3M in FY2025, producing a net margin of 61.3% and an EPS of $1.45. Gross margin was 100.0% from FY2021 through FY2024 before moving to 77.3% in FY2025, alongside an operating margin of 63.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 6.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 29.4% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $925.5M in cash and short-term investments against $27.00B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $26.07B. Total assets stood at $343.96B, and shareholders' equity was $302.49B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 and a current ratio of 0.17. In FY2025, free cash flow was -$20.5M, matching operating cash flow of -$20.5M, while dividends paid totaled $23.3M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $9.14 on October 16, 2026, LIEN holds a market capitalization of $208.6M and an enterprise value of $234.7M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 6.6x and a forward P/E of 6.3x, which compares with the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-book multiple is 0.8x, and its EV-to-revenue ratio is 6.6x. Over the past year, the shares gained 3.4%, compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY).
LIEN dividend
LIEN pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $1.36 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 14.90%. The company has paid dividends for 4 consecutive years and recorded a payout ratio of 87.2%. In FY2025, total dividends paid amounted to $23.3M, and the stock's most recent ex-dividend date was September 25, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 1 Hold rating, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $11.00, implying a 20.4% upside compared to the last close of $9.14. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $61.2M and EPS of $1.50, reflecting 3.5% earnings growth. Over the last 4 quarters, LIEN beat earnings estimates 2 times. The next earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio stood at 0.17 as of June 30, 2026, indicating tight short-term liquidity.
- The dividend payout ratio reached 87.2%, leaving limited earnings cushion if net income weakens.
- Free cash flow remained negative in three of the last four reported fiscal years, including -$20.5M in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LIEN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LIEN income statement, LIEN balance sheet, LIEN key metrics, LIEN analyst forecast, LIEN chart. See the LIEN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LIEN AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does LIEN pay?
LIEN pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.36 per share, yielding 14.90% with a payout ratio of 87.2%.
What are analysts forecasting for LIEN's fiscal 2026 results?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $61.2M and an EPS of $1.50, representing 3.5% EPS growth.
How does LIEN's valuation compare to its sector peers?
LIEN trades at a trailing P/E of 6.6x and a forward P/E of 6.3x, both below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively.
When does LIEN report its next earnings?
LIEN is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 12, 2026.